FIRE WEATHER 10/11/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:
EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
Ph: OFFICE:(760) 559-3032
AFTER 2200 HRS CALL (760)-244-9790
RADIO:(HAM) KG6ZHW
COUNTY F.D RADIO: #733784 CALL SIGN: COM-330

Date: 10/11/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:143

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 2 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
============================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Strong east-to-northeast winds and low relative humidity will create critical fire weather conditions again today. Lowest daytime humidity will be around 5 percent with poor overnight recovery inland. Strongest winds will occur this morning, then weaken through the afternoon. Very low relative humidity will continue inland into Saturday, but winds will be light. There will be a slow recovery in humidity for Sunday and Monday as
the onshore flow slowly increases and the marine layer redevelops

Northeast to east winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California as well as across the Southern Sierra through this afternoon. Winds will be light across the rest of Central California today.
· There will be widespread minimum humidity in the single digits through Saturday, with poor humidity recovery tonight.
· Maximum temperatures will be near to a little above normal through Saturday, with 60s to low 70s across the mountains and upper 70s and 80s in the valleys.
· Temperatures will cool to near to a little below normal Sunday and Monday, before warming back up to near to a little above normal Tuesday through the end of next week.
· Minimum humidity will increase to between 12% and 25% above the marine layer influence Sunday through the end of next week.
· Winds will be light across the region this evening through the end of next week.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
Gusty north winds have decreased over most areas with the strongest winds remaining down the Colorado River Valley. The current Red Flag Warning remains in place until 11 AM this morning and at this time it looks like that should be allowed to expire on time. Lighter winds are expected area wide Saturday with temperatures remaining just a few degrees below normal. Near normal temperatures are expected to return by Sunday with dry conditions and RH values remaining below 10% into early next week.

Key Points:
• A Wind Advisory remain in place for all of southern NV, portions of southeast California, and the Lower Colorado River Valley Wind Advisory was Cancelled for eastern San Bernardino County.
• A Red Flag Warning remains in place for all of southern Nevada and the Lower Colorado River Valley
• Gusty north winds of 30 to 40 mph will remain down the Colorado River Valley this morning before diminishing this afternoon. These conditions will create hazardous driving and boating conditions and critical fire weather conditions.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
The potential for large fire will remain high over Southern California and the Southern Sierra today as strong offshore winds and single digit humidity continue. Rapid rates of spread and long range spotting will be likely on any existing or new fire in windy areas. The new large fire threat will decrease substantially this weekend and next week as winds become light. However, humidity will stay low away from the coastal areas causing fuels to remain extremely dry through the end of next week. Expect moderate to heavy initial attack activity today and then light IA activity Saturday through the end of next week

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING
NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to
significant fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Oct. 11 Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 15 Oct. 16
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura MODERATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire MODERATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego MODERATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY

APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny. Patchy frost in the morning.
Max temperature…..69 to 74. 24 HR TREND……Up 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..38 to 47. 24 HR TREND……Up 7 degrees.
Max humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 8 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..74 to 80. 24 HR TREND……Up 6 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY

Friday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 39. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT FRIDAY…

RED FLAG WARNING WITH DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW
HUMIDITY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Windy, with a northeast wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 62. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the morning.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph after midnight.

*PHELAN:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 70. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 48. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
.FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..69-74. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 degrees.
Min Humidity……..6 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-9 mph.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Good. Mixing height…….4700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 15 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..42-47. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-7 mph in the early evening shifting to the north 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 degrees.
Min Humidity……..6 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-6 mph in the early morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Fair. Mixing height…….5800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
FRIDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….75-80. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….4-6 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….41-46. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….10-15 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….80-85. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….4-7 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Northeast wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

*BAKER:
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT /11 AM MST/FRIDAY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 77. North wind around 11 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 82. North wind 3 to 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 47. Light east northeast wind.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
FRIDAY… * Sky/Weather………Mostly sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….68-73. * 7000 feet…….57-62. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….4-5 percent. * 7000 feet…….5-12 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds around 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….37-42. * 7000 feet…….20-25. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….15-20 percent. * 7000 feet…….18-23 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….East winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* Upper slopes….South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….73-78. * 7000 feet…….62-67. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….4-5 percent. * 7000 feet…….4-12 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
.FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..68-73. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 degrees.
Min Humidity……..6 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 5-14 mph.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Very good. Mixing height…….4800 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..40-45. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..9-19 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-9 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..72-77. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 degrees.
Min Humidity……..5-10 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-7 mph.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Good. Mixing height…….6800 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
.FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny. Areas of blowing dust in the morning.
Max temperature…..78 to 86. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 13 to 23 mph becoming east 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..48 to 54. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Max humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 13 mph. Gusts to 30 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..81 to 87. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
Friday
Areas of blowing dust before 11am. Sunny, with a high near 78. Windy, with a north wind 35 to 40 mph decreasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. Breezy, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph

*CHINO HILLS:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 84. East wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. East wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 86. East wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.

*COLTON:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 55. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..55 to 65 above 6000 feet to 64 to 74 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 6 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east 8 to 18 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east 6 to 14 mph. Gusts to 30 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..28 to 38 above 6000 feet to 38 to 48 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Max humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east around 6 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..59 to 69 above 6000 feet to 67 to 77 below 6000 feet.
24 HR TREND……Up 11 degrees. Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent.
24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent. WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the morning.
RIDGETOP………Winds south 6 to 8 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 63. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 42. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 28. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 26. South wind around 5 mph.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY
.FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny. Areas of blowing sand and blowing dust in the morning.
Max temperature…..78 to 85. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 13 to 23 mph. Gusts to 45 mph…becoming 30 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..54 to 61. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..82 to 89. 24 HR TREND……Up 7 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 11 mph becoming south 6 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
FRIDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..64-76. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..4-9 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..43-53. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..70-82. * 24 hr trend………………6 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity………………..7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT /11 AM MST/ FRIDAY
.FRIDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….78-83. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….2-8 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….2800 ft agl. * Transport winds…..North 15 to 20 knots. * Ventilation………Good.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….45-50. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….13-18 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….83-88. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….3-9 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….6700 ft agl. * Transport winds…..North around 10 knots. * Ventilation………Good.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
.FRIDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * 4000 feet…….70-75. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 degrees.
* Min humidity: * 4000 feet…….3-6 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 4 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….3500 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Northeast around 10 knots. * Ventilation………Fair.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * 4000 feet…….36-41. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: * 4000 feet…….13-18 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 4 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * 4000 feet…….75-80. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 degrees.
* Min humidity: * 4000 feet…….4-7 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….3500 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Light winds. * Ventilation………Marginal.

*La Jolla CA
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 57. Calm wind

*Poway CA
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind becoming north northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 22. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
RED FLAG WARNING WITH DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MOST
OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY DUE
TO MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY…

LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..83-90. 24 hr trend……Up 4.
Min humidity……..3-8 percent. 24 hr trend……Down 10.
20-foot winds…….Hills and canyons…Northeast 15-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph becoming 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph late. Otherwise…northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..51-61.
Max humidity……..10-25 percent.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 6-12 mph. Isolated gusts to 20 mph in the hills.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83-89. Min humidity……..5-9 percent.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 6-12 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Isolated gusts to 20 mph in the hills.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT FRIDAY DUE TO GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..68-78 low elevations to 58-65 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Up 4.
Min humidity……..3-8 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 25-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph late.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 25-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph late.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..48-54 low elevations to 40-46 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..8-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..73-83 low elevations to 63-70 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..3-8 percent.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph becoming east 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph becoming east 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
.FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..67-74. 24 hr trend……Up 4.
Min humidity……..2-6 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph becoming15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph by noon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..26-36 except 49-54 in the hills.
Max humidity……..10-25 percent.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5-10 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..74-79.
Min humidity……..2-6 percent.
20-foot winds…….East 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

============================================================
THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2015: Unseasonable high pressure and warm ocean waters led to very warm October days and the warmest October nights on record from 10/10 through 10/15. In San Diego, five out of the six highest October minimum temperatures on record occurred. The highest minimum temperature in any October was 76° on 10/10 and again on 10/13. This is only two degrees off the highest minimum temperature for any time of year! (Only seven nights in history recorded 77 or 78°, all of which occurred during September, meaning these October nights were warmer than any night in July or August in San Diego). On 10/10 the highest minimum temperature in October was also recorded in Chula Vista (73, only three degrees off all-time highest), Oceanside Harbor (74, only two degrees off all-time highest), and El Cajon (tied 69). On 10/13 Santa Ana recorded 78°, the highest October minimum temperature on record. The top six warmest October nights on the Chula Vista record occurred this month, and the top five in El Cajon occurred this month.

2012: A waterspout was observed about 200 yards off the coast of Carlsbad.
Numerous pilot reports were received of waterspouts off the coast in the vicinity of North Island and Imperial Beach. Other waterspouts were seen off the coast of Orange County. No landfall or damage was reported.
1957: Heavy rain hit San Bernardino. Rainfall of 0.50 inch occurred during 10 minutes at Del Rosa Ranger Station (a 40 year occurrence). Total was 1.37” at the site from 10/11 to 10/14. The rains eased the fire threat, but burn areas from fires the previous August led to debris flows into the northern San Bernardino area. Tons of mud and debris were deposited in dozens of homes and yards from Little Mountain to Del Rosa.

1924: An early season cold snap gripped Southern California from this day to 10/13, setting numerous daily minimum temperature records.
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TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms continues several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico in association with an elongated trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves west-northwest to northwest at 5 to 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

======================================================================
CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0805 Hrs. TEMP: 460 RH: 19% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
=================================================================
FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 1)
Seventeen large fires have burned nearly 257,000 acres throughout the country. Two new large fires were reported in California. Firefighters reached containment goals on three large fires yesterday.

Daily statistics 10/11/19
Number of new large fires or emergency response 2 States currently reporting large fires:
Number of active large fires
Total does not include individual fires within complexes. 17 Alaska (2)
Arizona (2)
California (4)
Colorado (3)
Idaho (1)
Kentucky (2)
Louisiana (1)
Texas (1)
Washington (1)
Acres from active fires 257,021
Fires contained 3
Year-to-date statistics
2019 (1/1/19 – 10/11/19) Fires: 42,583 Acres: 4,432,941
2018 (1/1/18 – 10/11/18) Fires: 49,658 Acres: 8,148,951
2017 (1/1/17 – 10/11/17) Fires: 50,996 Acres: 8,584,212
2016 (1/1/16 – 10/11/16) Fires: 48,102 Acres: 4,841,835
2015 (1/1/15 – 10/11/15) Fires: 51,310 Acres: 9,288,504
2014 (1/1/14 – 10/11/14) Fires: 41,887 Acres: 3,073,791
2013 (1/1/13 – 10/11/13) Fires: 39,805 Acres: 4,142,582
2012 (1/1/12 – 10/11/12) Fires: 49,954 Acres: 8,873,855
2011 (1/1/11 – 10/11/11) Fires: 62,075 Acres: 8,295,320
2010 (1/1/10 – 10/11/10) Fires: 59,569 Acres: 3,135,812
2009 (1/1/09 – 10/11/09) Fires: 70,830 Acres: 5,673,624
10-year average Year-to-Date
2009-2018 Fires: 52,305 Acres: 6,399,776

Initial attack activity: Light (114 new fires)
New large incidents: 2
Large fires contained: 2
Uncontained large fires:*** 9
Area Command teams committed: 0
NIMOs committed: 0
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1
Type 2 IMTs committed: 1

Active Incident Resource Summary
GACC Incidents Cumulative Acres Crews Engines Helicopters Total Personnel
AICC 0 0 0 0 0 0
NWCC 1 8,743 2 10 0 83
ONCC 3 7,203 5 7 1 136
OSCC 3 5,805 44 226 19 2,009
NRCC 1 60 0 0 0 0
GBCC 1 100 0 0 0 5
SWCC 1 105 1 4 1 52
RMCC 3 8,748 27 35 12 1,060
EACC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACC 9 11,490 2 11 0 73
Total 22 42,254 81 293 33 3,418

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)
Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through October 6, 2019 4,609 40,712
January 1, 2018 through October 6, 2018 4,900 627,577
5-Year Average (same interval) 4,873 325,411
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 5,657 157,981

Southern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 17
New large incidents: 2
Uncontained large fires: 4

State
Sandalwood, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, New
Sandalwood Dr x I10, Calimesa
Local DPA, LRA, Calimesa City
Start time: 1358
• 150 acres, grass and brush, 0% contained
• Rapid rate of spread
• 72 degrees, 7% RH, wind E 20, gusts to 24
• Structures threatened
• Evacuations in progress
• Federal air and ground resources assigned
State
Briceburg, Vegetation Fire, Mariposa County, Update
Hwy 140 x Briceburg Bridge Rd, 4 miles north of Midpines
State/Federal DPA, SRA/FRA, Madera-Mariposa-Merced Unit/Sierra National Forrest
• 4,900 acres (+500 acres), brush, 25% contained (+10% containment)
• Active fire behavior with uphill runs, wind driven runs and spotting
• Evacuation orders remain in place for Briceburg Campground
• Evacuation warnings for Rancheria Creek Rd, Rumley Mine Rd, and Colorado Rd
• Hwy 140 remains closed from Briceburg Rd to West of Incline
• Main entrance to communities of El Portal and Yosemite National Park remain closed
• Structures threatened
• Federal air and ground resources assigned

Cross, Vegetation Fire, San Benito Monterey County/San Luis Obispo County, Update
Indian Valley Rd x County Line, North of San Miguel
Federal/State DPA, FRA/SRA, DOD Camp Roberts/ San Benito Monterey/San Luis Obispo Unit
• 289 acres (+0 acres), grass, 90% contained (+0% containment)
• Forward rate of spread has stopped
• Fuels and terrain are hindering suppression efforts
Wolf, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, Update
Wolfskill Truck Trail x 4 miles south of Banning
State DPA, SRA, Riverside Unit
• 50 acres grass and brush, 0% contained
• Moderate rate of spread
• Difficult terrain is hampering access

Federal
Taboose, Vegetation Fire, Inyo County, Update
9 miles south of Big Pine
Federal/State DPA, FRA/SRA, Inyo National Forest
• 10,296 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 75% contained (+0% containment)
• Area closures remain in effect
• Incident submitting one ICS -209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800

Wendy, Vegetation Fire, Ventura County, New
Potrero Rd x S Wendy Dr, Newbury Park
Local DPA, FRA/SRA, Santa Monica Mountains National Recreation Area/Ventura County Fire
Start time: 1910
• 50 acres, grass and brush, 5% contained
• Moderate rate of spread
• 76 degrees, 3% RH, wind NE 16, gusts to 24
• Structure threat to NPS buildings

Reche Fire
10/10/2019 2:18 pm
Riverside
Acres Burned: 400

Northern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 19
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 0

CA-ENF Caples Fire: 2143 acres timber, 20% contained. Extreme fire behavior with short range spotting has been observed. There is a threat to structures on remote ranches in the area. Private timberlands, major municipal watershed, historical sites and critical wildlife habitat are also threatened. Smoke impacts to the Sacramento Valley and Lake Tahoe areas are possible. Road closures are in effect to forest system roads

The National Weather Service – The National Weather Service has issued numerous Red Flag Warnings for several Fire Weather Zones in the North Ops Region thru Friday morning. These Red Flag Warnings are for gusty winds and low humidity. Please check the link for affected areas Link

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