FIRE WEATHER 10/13/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:
EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
Ph: OFFICE:(760) 559-3032
AFTER 2200 HRS CALL (760)-244-9790
RADIO:(HAM) KG6ZHW
COUNTY F.D RADIO: #733784 CALL SIGN: COM-330

Date: 10/13/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:145

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 2 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Weak onshore flow, a building marine layer, and increasing relative humidity will ease fire weather concerns somewhat through Monday. It will turn drier and much warmer again Tuesday and Wednesday with weak to locally moderate offshore flow elevating fire weather conditions once again. Strengthening onshore flow will develop by Thursday and continue into next weekend with strong westerly winds at times over the mountains and deserts. A very warm and dry, offshore period is likely again early next week, and there is a chance for gusty Santa Ana winds at times as well.

Temperatures will be between 5 degrees below and 5 degrees above normal through the middle of this week, with 60s to low 70s across the mountains and mid 70s to mid 80s in the valleys.

· Minimum humidity will be mainly between 12% and 25% away from the coastal areas through the middle of this week.

· Winds will be light through the middle of this week.

· Temperatures will cool to 5 to 10 degrees below normal Thursday through Saturday.

· There will be a significant increase in humidity away from the deserts Thursday through Saturday.

· Westerly winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will surface across the mountain ridges and desert passes Thursday afternoon through Saturday evening.

· Northerly winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will surface over Santa Barbara County and the Grapevine Friday night and Saturday night.

· Significant warming and drying will occur Sunday through early next week.

· Strong northeast winds will be possible over the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California next Sunday evening through early next week.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
Dry tranquil weather is expected through the middle of the coming week with temperatures running near or slightly above normal. Breezy periods and a cooling trend are on the horizon late Thursday into next weekend as a couple of fast moving troughs brush our region.

SPECIAL NOTES:

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
The potential for large fire will be low across the region through the middle of this week due to light winds. Even though it will be windy Thursday through Saturday, cool and humid conditions will keep the large fire threat low. The best chance for a large fire Thursday through Saturday will be in and near the desert passes where humidity will be in the teens. There will be a substantial increase in the potential for large fire next Sunday through early next week as strong offshore winds combine with very warm and dry conditions. “High Risk” Days may be needed over some Southern California PSAs during this period. Expect light initial attack activity through Saturday and then IA activity will increase into the moderate to heavy range next Sunday through early next week

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING
NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to
significant fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 15 Oct. 16 Oct. 17 Oct. 18
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..75 to 83. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds south 6 to 13 mph. Gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..39 to 49. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Max humidity……..45 to 55 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 25 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..73 to 81. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west around 6 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 63. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 46. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 59. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

*PHELAN:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 70. West wind around 5 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph after midnight

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..75-80. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 degrees.
Min Humidity……..8 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-5 mph in the early morning shifting to the south 3-8 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Very good. Mixing height…….7900 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northwest around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the south in the afternoon. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..46-51. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 degrees.
Max Humidity……..16-26 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 5-11 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 3-9 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..75-80. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..9 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-6 mph in the early morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Fair. Mixing height…….6600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
TODAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….83-88. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….6-9 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….South 15 to 25 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….46-51. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….29-34 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 16 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….South wind up to 10 mph in the evening becoming downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South 15 to 20 mph becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.COLUMBUS DAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….82-87. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….8-18 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming northeast up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….South 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

*BAKER:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 85. South wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Light and variable wind.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
TODAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….74-79.
* 7000 feet…….61-66. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….6-8 percent. * 7000 feet…….7-13 percent. * 24 hr trend…Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….South winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest up to 10 mph increasing to south in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….39-44. * 7000 feet…….20-25. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor..23-28 percent. * 7000 feet…26-31 percent. * 24 hr trend…On average up 5 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….South winds around 10 mph shifting to the northwest up to 10 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest around 10 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.COLUMBUS DAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….74-79.
* 7000 feet…….62-67. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….7-9 percent. * 7000 feet…9-19 percent. * 24 hr trend…On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming east around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….East around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..7-17 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 5 mph in the early morning increasing to south by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Very good. Mixing height…….8200 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..44-49. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..32-42 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 10-20 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 3-10 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..10-20 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-7 mph in the early morning shifting to the northeast 3-6 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Fair. Mixing height…….7000 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..77 to 83. 24 HR TREND……Down 7 degrees.
Min humidity……..15 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 15 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southeast around 6 mph becoming southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear…becoming cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight.
Min temperature…..46 to 52. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Max humidity……..85 to 95 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 50 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southwest 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Cloudy…becoming mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.
Max temperature…..74 to 80. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..25 to 35 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming west 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Columbus Day
Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable.

*CHINO HILLS:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Columbus Day
Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

*COLTON:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Light southwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Columbus Day
Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 79. Light southwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..58 to 68 above 6000 feet to 65 to 75 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Min humidity….10 to 15 percent on desert slopes to 15 to 20 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND…Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds south 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds south 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..25 to 35 above 6000 feet to 34 to 44 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity…20 to 30 percent on desert slopes to 50 to 60 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND…Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds south 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..Around 66 above 6000 feet to 62 to 72 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds north around 6 mph becoming west 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
RIDGETOP………Winds south around 6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 63. East wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 48. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the evening

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 26. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 61. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..85 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southeast 6 to 10 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..Around 65. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity……..30 to 40 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..85 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming east 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
SUNDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..71-85. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend………………3 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..46-57. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..28-34 pct. * 24 hr trend………………14 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming west after midnight.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Southwest 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.MONDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..70-83. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..13-18 pct. * 24 hr trend………………5 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
.TODAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….88-93. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….3-11 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….7500 ft agl.
* Transport winds…..Light winds becoming south around 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation………Good.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….53-58. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….28-33 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 12 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South 15 to 25 mph increasing to southwest 20 to 30 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.COLUMBUS DAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….86-91. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….11-21 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 9 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….8400 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Light winds. * Ventilation………Good.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):

.TODAY…
* Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature:
* 4000 feet…….79-84.
* 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Min humidity:
* 4000 feet…….5-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming 15 to 25 mph in
the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent.
* LAL……………..1.
* Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….6700 ft agl.
* Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Good.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * 4000 feet…….44-49. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Max humidity: * 4000 feet…….21-26 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 9 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.COLUMBUS DAY…
* Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * 4000 feet…….80-85. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * 4000 feet…….7-15 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….8000 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Light winds. * Ventilation………Fair.

*La Jolla CA
Sunday
Patchy dense fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Columbus Day
Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 57. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north after midnight.

*Poway CA
Sunday
Patchy dense fog before 11am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Columbus Day
Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 54. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36. South wind 6 to 14 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 68. Calm wind becoming west southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming east southeast after midnight.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..79-83. 24 hr trend……Down 7.
Min humidity……..25-35 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 20.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear then low clouds and fog after midnight.
Min temperature…..51-56.
Max humidity……..70-90 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY… Sky/weather………Morning low clouds and fog then mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..75-79.
Min humidity……..35-45 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..70-79 low elevations to 60-68 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Down 3.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 3.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…South 6-12 mph becoming southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….South 6-12 mph becoming southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..43-53.
Max humidity……..25-45 percent except 50-60 percent colder valleys.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..70-78 low elevations to 60-68 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..20-40 percent except 10-20 percent higher peaks and warmer valleys.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northwest to north 8-15 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northwest to north 8-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Areas of frost in the morning.
Max temperature…..73-79. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..6-9 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 3.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..38-46 except 47-49 in the hills.
Max humidity……..30-50 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 10-20 mph with local gusts to 30 mph in the evening becoming 8-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..71-77.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….North 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

============================================================
THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2015: Unseasonable high pressure and warm ocean waters led to very warm October days and the warmest October nights on record from 10/10 through 10/15. In San Diego, five out of the six highest October minimum temperatures on record occurred. The highest minimum temperature in any October was 76° on 10/10 and again on this day. This is only two degrees off the highest minimum temperature for any time of year! (Only seven nights in history recorded 77 or 78°, all of which occurred during September, meaning these October nights were warmer than any night in July or August in San Diego). On 10/10 the highest minimum temperature in October was also recorded in Chula Vista (73, only three degrees off all-time highest), Oceanside Harbor (74, only two degrees off all-time highest), and El Cajon (tied 69). On this day Santa Ana recorded 78°, the highest October minimum temperature on record. The top six warmest October nights on the Chula Vista record occurred this month, and the top five in El Cajon occurred this month.
2006: A thunderstorm dropped 0.51 inch of rain in five minutes and 1.81 inch in 30 minutes in San Bernardino. 18 homes and businesses and two vehicles were damaged by flooding. Big sinkholes were left in a road. One man required rescue from his vehicle. Mud and debris were left on roads. Several funnel clouds and waterspouts were observed off the coast of Catalina Island.

1972: A 289 day stretch of rainless days finally ended in Indio, with 0.05 inches of rain.

1956: Cuyamaca set a record low for the month with a frigid reading of 15°.

1950: Elsinore reached 110°, the highest recorded temperature in October.

1942: A midnight thunderstorm hit Upland with 2.25 inches of rain in just over one hour. Mud and debris washed down Euclid Avenue and flooded at least one home. Four calves at a dairy in Ontario were washed away.

1924: An early season cold snap gripped Southern California from 10/11 to this day. It was 32° in Escondido, the lowest temperature on record for October. This also occurred the previous day on 10/12.

1889: A monsoon-type thunderstorm brought 7.58 inches of rain to Encinitas in eight hours from 10 pm 10/12 to 6 am on this day. 0.44 inch fell in San Diego.
==================================================================
TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
. For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Recent satellite data indicate that the wind field of a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not increased in
organization. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression is still likely to form by tonight or on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days,and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.

======================================================================
CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0800 Hrs. TEMP: 490 RH: 30% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
=================================================================
FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 1)
This will be the last daily Incident Management Situation Report. This report will post every Friday at 0800 Mountain Time unless significant activity occurs

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)
Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through October 6, 2019 4,609 40,712
January 1, 2018 through October 6, 2018 4,900 627,577
5-Year Average (same interval) 4,873 325,411
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 5,657 157,981

Southern California Area (PL 2 )

Unified Command

Saddle Ridge Fire, Vegetation Fire, Los Angeles County, Update
Saddle Ridge Rd, Sylmar
Local DPA, SRA/LRA/FRA, Los Angeles City Fire/ Los Angeles County Fire/ Angeles National Forest, Contract County
• 7,965 acres (+413 acres), grass and brush, 33% contained (+14) containment
• Unified Command Los Angeles City, Los Angeles County, USFS
• Moderate fire behavior with backing and creeping
• All evacuation orders have been lifted
• Continued structure threats
• Repopulation plan implemented and ongoing
Sandalwood, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, Update
Sandalwood Dr x I10, Calimesa
Local DPA, LRA, Calimesa City
• 1,011 acres (+188 acres), grass and brush, 68% contained (+43% containment)
• Unified command Riverside County Fire, and Calimesa Fire
• Minimal fire behavior
• Evacuations remain in place
• Transmission lines threatened
• Damage inspection is ongoing
• Federal air and ground resources assigned
State

Briceburg, Vegetation Fire, Mariposa County, Update
Hwy 140 x Briceburg Bridge Rd, 4 miles north of Midpines
State/Federal DPA, SRA/FRA, Madera-Mariposa-Merced Unit/Sierra National Forrest
• 5,563 acres (+373 acres), brush, 60% contained (+11% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with smoldering
• Road closures in the area
• Federal air and ground resources assigned

Reche, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, Update
Reche Canyon Rd x Jordan Dr, Moreno Valley
State DPA, SRA, Riverside Unit
• 350 acres (+0 acres) , grass and brush, 97% contained (+12% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior
• Structure threat mitigated

Wolf, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, Final
Wolfskill Truck Trail x 4 miles south of Banning
State DPA, SRA, Riverside Unit
• 75 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 100% contained (+10% containment)
• Forward rate of spread stopped
• Last report unless significant changes occur
Federal

Wendy, Vegetation Fire, Ventura County, Update
Potrero Rd x S Wendy Dr, Newbury Park
Federal DPA, FRA, Santa Monica Mountains National Recreation Area
• 93 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 80% contained (+0% containment)
• Forward spread has been stopped
• Continued mop-up and strengthening control lines

Taboose, Vegetation Fire, Inyo County, Update
9 miles south of Big Pine
Federal/State DPA, FRA/SRA, Inyo National Forest
• 10,400 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 75% contained (+0% containment)
• Area closures remain in effect
• Incident submitting 1 ICS -209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800

Northern California Area (PL 2 )

CA-ENF Caples Fire: 2,832 acres timber, 35% contained. Fire behavior was Moderate today with flanking torching and uphill runs observed. Structures are threatened. Private timberlands and major municipal watershed remain threatened. Smoke impacts to Highway 88, the Tahoe Basin and surrounding areas are possible. Road, trail and area closures remain in effect in the area.

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