FIRE WEATHER 10/26/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:
EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
Ph: OFFICE:(760) 559-3032
AFTER 2200 HRS CALL (760)-244-9790
RADIO:(HAM) KG6ZHW
COUNTY F.D RADIO: #733784 CALL SIGN: COM-330

Date: 10/26/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:158

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 3 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 3 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT AT TIMES FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING…

Warm and dry again today but with lighter winds. Increasing onshore flow ahead of a trough moving in from the north will bring cooling and increasing humidity. A moderate Santa Ana wind event arrives late Sunday night into Monday. Gusty winds and lower humidity will elevate the fire weather threat. There is the potential for a stronger Santa Ana next Wednesday and Thursday.

KEY POINTS
Temperatures will be around 10 degrees above normal away from the coastal areas today, with upper 60s and 70s across the mountains and 80s to low 90s in the valleys.

· Minimum humidity will be mainly in the single digits and teens today.

· Westerly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph will surface across the desert passes late this afternoon through tonight.

· Temperatures will cool between 15 and 20 degrees and minimum humidity will increase to between 15% and 30% Sunday.

· North to northeast winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California as well as the Owens Valley late Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

· Winds will decrease Monday afternoon and then become light Monday evening.

· A gradual warming trend will occur Monday through the end of next week.

· Minimum humidity will return to the single digits and teens across the area Monday through the end of next week.

· Strong and gusty northeast winds will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California once again Wednesday and Thursday.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM PDT /11 AM MST SUNDAY TO 11 AM PDT /11 AM MST MONDAY FOR STRONG NORTH WINDS AND LOW RH FOR THE COLORADO RIVER VALLE FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101, 229, AND 466…

.DISCUSSION…Gusty north winds are expected to develop across much of the region Sunday behind a dry cold front dropping down from western Canada. These winds combined with low RH values will lead to critical conditions Sunday into Monday. Expect temperatures to trend down quickly early next week, falling 10-15 degrees below normal. Another shot of north winds and even cooler temperatures will develop late Tuesday through Wednesday.

Key Points:
• Fire Weather Watches were issued for Clark and Lincoln counties along with the Colorado River Valley and go into effect Sunday.
• Strong winds will develop early Sunday and linger through late Sunday, possible early Monday.
• Conditions are favorable for dangerous, erratic fire behavior.

SPECIAL NOTES:
BI-MONTHLY FUELS DISCUSSION
For Southern and Central California
Updated: Monday, Oct. 21st, 2019
General Discussion:

The long-anticipated change from a progressive pattern into one of sustained blocking finally occurred at the beginning of the month. This result in much warmer and drier weather along with the first significant offshore wind event since 2017. Gusty north and northeast winds of 20-40 mph with gusts
exceeding 60 mph occurred over Southern California on the 8th and 9th and again on the 19th and 20th.

This, along with above normal temperatures and low afternoon humidity, allowed fuel moisture to further drop across the district. At the current time, all predictive service areas are reporting far below normal dead fuel moisture. Readings are generally in the 90th – 95th percentile in terms of fuel moisture in dead fuels in both Central and Southern CA. Live fuel moisture readings are close to critically low levels in all areas except the immediate coast.

Long range models indicate a strong ridge may remain stationary off the coast through at least the next two weeks. This will serve to keep the storm track well north of the area with hot, dry conditions being the dominant weather condition. Expect strong drying conditions to continue with dead fuel moisture
remaining at or below record low fuel moisture readings. Aggressive and rapid rates of spread can be expected with new starts, even during non-windy periods where slope and terrain align. There is a good chance wetting rains will not arrive anytime soon and an extended period of above normal resource demand will be necessary well into November.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
Even though it will be very warm and dry today, the potential for large fire will decrease significantly due to much lighter winds. However, there will most likely be erratic fire behavior on existing fires this afternoon as winds turn from light offshore to onshore. Strong offshore winds and very low humidity will cause the large fire threat to become high across most of Southern California Sunday night and Monday. There will be a break in the large fire threat Tuesday and then it will become high Wednesday and Thursday as another moderate to strong offshore wind event moves across the area. Fuels will remain critically dry through the end of next week. Moderate to heavy initial attack activity will continue across the area through the end of next week.

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING

NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to significant fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Oct. 26 Oct. 27 Oct. 28 Oct. 29 Oct. 30 Oct. 31
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE MODERATE NO RATE MODERATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE MODERATE NO RATE MARGINAL NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE MODERATE NO RATE MARGINAL NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

———————————————————————-
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..81 to 86. 24 HR TREND……Up 6 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming west 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..46 to 54. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..25 to 35 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.
LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..Around 63. 24 HR TREND……Down 17 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 7 to 17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY…
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR POSSIBLE SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 68. North wind around 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 40. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north northeast 20 to 25 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Breezy, with a north northeast wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.

*PHELAN:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Areas of smoke in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..81-86. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 degrees.
Min Humidity……..8-14 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 3-7 mph in the morning increasing to south 8-14 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good.
Mixing height…….4900 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..West around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Min Temperature…..48-53. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..24-34 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….West 10-16 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..63-68. 24 HR Trend……Down 15-20 degrees.
Min Humidity……..10-16 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 7-12 mph in the morning increasing to 12-17 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Excellent.
Mixing height…….6300 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North 25 to 30 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….84-89. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-10 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming southwest up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….48-53. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….25-30 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 30 to 40 mph increasing to 35 to 45 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….75-80. 24 hr trend…..On average down 9 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….9-13 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

*BAKER:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 88. South southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. South southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming northwest after midnight.
Sunday
Patchy blowing dust after 4pm. Sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with a north wind 13 to 18 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 41. North wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Mostly sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….80-85. 7000 feet…….70-75. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-10 percent. 7000 feet…….9-17 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….West 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….34-39. 7000 feet…….19-24. 24 hr trend…..On average down 10 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….31-36 percent. 7000 feet…….31-36 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph after midnight.
* Upper slopes….West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 15 to 20 mph becoming 10 to 20 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….63-68. 7000 feet…….48-53. 24 hr trend…..On average down 18 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….10-13 percent. 7000 feet…….17-27 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 6 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Areas of smoke in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..81-86. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 degrees.
Min Humidity……..9-19 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 4-8 mph in the morning increasing to 8-13 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Very good.
Mixing height…….5400 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northwest around 5 mph in the morning increasing to west around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Min Temperature…..48-53. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..30-40 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 8-14 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..63-68. 24 HR Trend……Down 15-20 degrees.
Min Humidity……..14-24 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North to northeast 9-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Excellent.
Mixing height…….5900 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 20 mph in the morning increasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…
TODAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..85 to 92. 24 HR TREND……Down 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east around 6 mph becoming southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.TONIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..49 to 57. 24 HR TREND……Down 6 degrees.
Max humidity……..40 to 50 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 20 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds south 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph in The evening becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..71 to 78. 24 HR TREND……Down 14 degrees.
Min humidity……..20 to 30 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 20 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 8 mph becoming southwest 6 to 16 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR…
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Sunday
Areas of blowing dust after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Areas of blowing dust. Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

*CHINO HILLS:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR…
Today
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east 15 to 20 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

*COLTON:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR…
Today
Sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West wind around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind becoming north 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..65 to 75 above 6000 feet to 72 to 82 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)….. SLOPES…..Winds southwest 6 to 16 mph. Gusts to 25 mph…becoming 35 mph in the afternoon
RIDGETOP……… Winds west 11 to 21 mph with gusts to 45 mph
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..34 to 44 above 6000 feet to 43 to 53 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 3 degrees.
Max humidity….20 to 25 percent on desert slopes to 25 to 35 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES……….. Winds west 6 to 16 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
RIDGETOP……… Winds west 11 to 21 mph. Gusts to 35 mph…becoming 45 mph after midnight
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..52 to 61 above 6000 feet to 60 to 70 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 14 degrees.
Min humidity…10 to 15 percent on desert slopes to 15 to 25 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds southwest 7 to 17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds southwest 14 to 24 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR…
Today
Sunny, with a high near 72. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 48. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Windy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR…
. Today
Sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 23. Blustery, with a north wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…
TODAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..86 to 91. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.TONIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..58 to 65. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Max humidity……..20 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 7 to 17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..77 to 85. 24 HR TREND……Down 7 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 7 to 17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..75-87. 24 hr trend………………5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity………………..8-13 pct. 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather…………………Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature……………..48-57. 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..23-30 pct. 24 hr trend………………7 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather…………………Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..66-80. 24 hr trend………………8 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity………………..13-20 pct. 24 hr trend………………6 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….86-91. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….4-12 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….4700 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Good.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….52-57. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….21-26 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 20 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….80-85. 24 hr trend…..On average down 6 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-16 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….4500 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation………Very good.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT…
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….81-86. 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 degrees.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….8-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….West 15 to 25 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….3800 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Fair.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: 4000 feet…….42-47. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: 4000 feet…….24-29 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west around 10 mph with gusts to around 30 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft msl….West 15 to 25 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….67-72. 24 hr trend…..On average down 14 degrees.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….10-15 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 10 to 20 mph increasing to northwest 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….6300 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation………Very good.

*La Jolla CA
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 60. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog before 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 57. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable.

*Poway CA
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS…
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Sunday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog before 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 53. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 70. East southeast wind 9 to 17 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 27. South southwest wind 10 to 16 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 44. North northeast wind around 16 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 15. North wind 11 to 13 mph.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE HILLS AND CANYONS…
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..84-92. 24 hr trend……Down 8.
Min humidity……..10-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 6.
20-foot winds…….Hills and canyons…East 6-12 mph in the morning. Otherwise…Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..54-61.
Max humidity……..55-70 percent except 45-55 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph early becoming southeast 5-10 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..68-76.
Min humidity……..25-45 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southeast 6-12 mph becoming south 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..78-87 low elevations to 68-76 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…North to northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming west 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….North to northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming northwest 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..50-58 low elevations to 40-48 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..30-45 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Southwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph after midnight.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northwest 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY…
Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..64-70 low elevations to 57-62 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..10-20 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph by the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….North 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..80-88. 24 hr trend……Up 6.
Min humidity……..5-10 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 5-10 mph becoming west 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..40-50.
Max humidity……..35-45 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph becoming 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph late.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..62-70.
Min humidity……..10-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph becoming northeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

============================================================
THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2006: Offshore winds blew to 40 mph in the Banning Pass. The Esperanza Fire was started by an arsonist. It eventually burned 40,200 acres from Cabazon to San Jacinto. It destroyed 34 homes and killed 5 firefighters.

2004: A thunderstorm produced 2.28 inches of rain in Elsinore, the greatest one-day rainfall total for October.

2003: Santa Ana winds started on 10/25 and ended on 10/27. Gusts of 56 mph were measured at Descanso, 46 mph in Anza, 45 mph in Ontario, 43 mph at Fremont Canyon, 41 mph in Beaumont and 40 mph in Campo. Unprecedented wildfires, including the Cedar, Paradise and Otay Fires consumed hundreds of thousands of acres, killed over 20 people and caused over one billion dollars in damage. Notable fires that began on this day in 2003 include the Paradise, Otay, and Mountain Fires. The Paradise Fire would consume 56,700 acres near Valley Center and Escondido and kill two before it was finally contained. The Otay and Mountain Fires sprang to life on this day. They scorched 46,291 and 10,331 acres respectively.

2002: A funnel cloud was observed five miles northeast of Borrego Springs.

1993: Santa Ana winds started on this day and ended on 10/27. A gust of 62 mph was measured at Ontario. A fire started in Laguna Hills.

==================================================================
TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

======================================================================
CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0745 Hrs. TEMP: 540 RH: 31% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
=================================================================
FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

Initial attack activity: Light (74 new fires)
New large incidents: 1
Large fires contained: 1
Uncontained large fires:*** 5
Area Command teams committed: 0
NIMOs committed: 0
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1
Type 2 IMTs committed: 1

Active Incident Resource Summary
GACC Incidents Cumulative Acres Crews Engines Helicopters Total Personnel
AICC 0 0 0 0 0 0
NWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
ONCC 3 28,065 30 160 9 1,498
OSCC 4 18,787 16 245 4 1,489
NRCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
GBCC 1 375 0 7 0 24
SWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
RMCC 3 11,053 3 8 5 302
EACC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACC 5 1,806 2 4 1 85
Total 16 60,086 51 424 19 3,398

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)

Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through October 13, 2019 4,878 46,996
January 1, 2018 through October 13, 2018 5,155 631,916
5-Year Average (same interval) 5,109 372,344
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 5,980 170,857

Southern California Area (PL 3 )
New fires: 16
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 2

Contract County
Tick, Vegetation Fire, Los Angeles County, Update
Tick Canyon Rd x Summit Knoll Rd, Canyon Country
Local DPA, SRA/FRA/LRA, Contract County
• 4,616 acres (+610 acres), grass, 25% contained (+5% containment)
• Active rate of spread with wind driven runs and spotting
• Structures remain threatened
• Powerlines remain threatened
• Immediate threat to the communities of Canyon Country, Valencia, Santa Clarita, Newhall and Agua Dulce
• Evacuation orders remain for 40,000+ residents
• Hwy 14 remains closed
• FMAG application approved
• Red Flag Warning for gusty Santa Ana winds and very low humidity in effect
• Federal air and ground resources assigned
Saddle Ridge, Vegetation Fire, Los Angeles County, Update
Saddle Ridge Rd, Sylmar
Local DPA, SRA/LRA/FRA, Los Angeles City Fire/ Los Angeles County Fire/ Angeles National Forest, Contract County
• 8,799 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 97% contained (+0% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with smoldering
• Continued suppression repair
• Crews continue to improve, reinforce, and strengthen control line
• Federal ground resources assigned
• Incident submitting 1 ICS-209 daily at 1800
Old Water, Vegetation Fire, San Bernardino County, Final
Old Waterman x Hwy 18
Local DPA, LRA/FRA/SRA San Bernardino County Fire, San Bernardino National Forest, San Bernardino Unit
• 105 acres (+0 acres), grass, 30% contained (+0% containment)
• Forward rate of spread stopped
• Last report unless significant changes occur
Federal
Oak, Vegetation Fire, San Diego County, Update
Case Springs x Roblar Rd, Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base
Federal DPA, FRA, DOD/Camp Pendleton
• 140 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 48% contained (+0% containment)
State
Sawday, Vegetation Fire, San Diego County, Final
Sawday Truck Trail x Little Page Rd, Community of Witch Creek
State DPA, SRA, San Diego Unit
• 97 acres (+17 acres), brush, 52% contained (+47% containment)
• No Federal resources committed
Northern California Area (PL 3 )
New fires: 27
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 2
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1

The National Weather Service: Sacramento and San Francisco have issued a Red Flag Warning for strong and potentially damaging North to east winds and low relative humidity over much of interior California causing critical fire weather conditions. The general timeframe starts on Saturday morning and ends Monday. Numerous Fire weather Zones in the North Ops Region are predicted to be affected.

CA-LNU Kincade Fire: 23,700 acres grass and brush, 5% contained. The fire is burning in a remote location with steep terrain. Evacuations orders and warnings remain in place. There is a threat to power-lines, geothermal power generation units, communication, infrastructure, critical watershed and local community water delivery systems. Hwy 128 remains closed in the fire area. 21 residences and 28 minor structures are confirmed destroyed, damage inspections are approximately 25% complete. Cal Fire IMT #6 is in command of the incident. No Reportable Incidents

CA-ENF Caples Fire: 3,434 acres timber, 87% contained. Interior islands of unburned vegetation continue to burn down by flanking, backing, and creeping. A Red Flag Warning will be in place over the fire area beginning Saturday morning and lasting into Monday. Trail and area closures remain in effect.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *