FIRE WEATHER 10/27/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:
EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
Ph: OFFICE:(760) 559-3032
AFTER 2200 HRS CALL (760)-244-9790
RADIO:(HAM) KG6ZHW
COUNTY F.D RADIO: #733784 CALL SIGN: COM-330

Date: 10/27/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:159

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 3 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 3 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Critical Fire Weather Conditions Tonight and Monday…

A coastal eddy and strong onshore flow ahead of an upper level trough will bring cooler weather today with areas of low clouds in the coastal zones. The trough passes quickly this afternoon and will be followed by gusty offshore Santa Ana winds tonight and Monday. The winds will be strongest in the northern areas. More
gusty Santa Ana winds are expected Wednesday and Thursday, followed by quieter weather next weekend.

Temperatures will cool to 5 to 10 degrees below normal today, with upper 40s and 50s across the mountains and mid 60s to mid 70s in the valleys.

· North to northeast winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California as well as in the Owens Valley this evening through Monday morning.

· Winds will decrease Monday afternoon and then become light Monday evening.

· Temperatures will warm a few degrees across the coastal and valley areas, but cool a few degrees across the mountains and deserts Monday.

· Temperatures will cool a few degrees across the entire area Tuesday.

· Northeast to east winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California once again Wednesday and Thursday.

· Temperatures will gradually warm Wednesday through next weekend and be 5 to 10 degrees above normal by next weekend.

· Minimum humidity will be mainly in the single digits and teens Monday through next weekend

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
Gusty north winds and about 20 degrees of cooling will spread over our region today as a cold Canadian air mass dives into the Desert Southwest. An even colder Canadian system will then drop over Nevada and Utah Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing another shot of north winds and even colder temperatures. A few spots in the deserts could see their first freezes of the season in the wake of this second system.

KEY POINTS
Cold front moving through the southern Great Basin/Mojave Desert will usher in gusty winds and much colder temperatures today and Monday.
Another system will bring the region a reinforcing shot of colder air Wednesday.
First Freeze of the Season for Mojave Desert locales possible later this week.

CONFIDENCE AND DETAILS
Wind Advisory/Lake Wind Advisory Today-Tonight
HIGH Confidence Hazardous crosswinds, especially for high profile vehicles.
Dangerous boating conditions due to strong winds and significant wave activity.

MODERATE Confidence
Loose or unsecured objects may be blown away.
Travel delays at McCarran International Airport due to strong winds.
Reduced visibility due to blowing snow.

Details:
TODAY
INYO COUNTY/ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY
North wind 25 to 35 gusts to around 50 mph.
TONIGHT
LAKE MEAD/LAKE MOHAVE/LAKE HAVASU
North wind 20 to 25 gusts to 35 mph.

Freezing Temperatures Later This Week
HIGH Confidence First freeze of the year will bring the end to the growing season.
Bring in sensitive plants & take precautions to protect other property from freezing temperatures.
Details:
Potential exists for the first freeze of the season for lower elevations of the Mojave Desert, including parts of Las Vegas Valley.

SPECIAL NOTES:

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
The potential for large fire will be high across Southern California tonight through Monday afternoon and then again Wednesday and Thursday due to strong offshore winds combined with very low humidity. Extreme rapid rates of spread and long range spotting will occur on any new ignitions in windy areas. The large fire threat will be less across Central California, since there will only be locally strong and gusty winds there. Fuel moisture will remain very low through next weekend due to the long duration of very dry conditions. Expect moderate to heavy initial attack activity across the region through next weekend.

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING

NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to significant
fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Oct. 27 Oct. 28 Oct. 29 Oct. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 1
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura MODERATE MODERATE NO RATE HIGH MODERATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire MARGINAL MODERATE NO RATE MODERATE MODERATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego MARGINAL MODERATE NO RATE MODERATE MODERATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara MARGINAL MODERATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..64 to 72. 24 HR TREND……Down 18 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 7 to 17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..30 to 40. 24 HR TREND……Down 15 degrees.
Max humidity……..20 to 30 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 14 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……4 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..60 to 65. 24 HR TREND……Down 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 9 mph becoming north 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY…

…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 60. West wind 15 to 20 mph becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 28. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR LA/VENTURA COUNTY COAST, SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS, AND SAN GABRIEL VALLEY DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 58. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 33. Very windy, with a north northeast wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 35 to 40 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 55. Breezy, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 35. North northeast wind around 10 mph.

*PHELAN:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 58. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..64-69. 24 HR Trend……Down 11-23 degrees.
Min Humidity……..11-18 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 6-18 mph.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Excellent.
Mixing height…….6700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 15 mph in the morning increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Partly cloudy then becoming clear. Patchy blowing dust in the evening, then patchy frost after midnight.
Min Temperature…..36-41. 24 HR Trend……Down 8-18 degrees.
Max Humidity……..23-28 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 4-10 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 6-18 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Patchy frost in the morning.
Max Temperature…..59-64. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-8 degrees.
Min Humidity……..8-16 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….South 6 mph in the early morning shifting to the southeast 4 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….3700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 10 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….76-81. 24 hr trend…..On average down 9 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….10-15 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….34-39. 24 hr trend…..On average down 15 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….17-22 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 10 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 20 to 30 mph increasing to north 30 to 40 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….64-69. 24 hr trend…..On average down 12 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….5-8 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 6 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

*BAKER:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with a north wind 17 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 39. North northwest wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 66. North northwest wind 8 to 11 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 35. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Mostly sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….63-68. 7000 feet…….48-53. 24 hr trend…..On average down 17 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….11-15 percent. 7000 feet…….18-28 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 7 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the morning.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….26-31. 7000 feet…….11-16. 24 hr trend…..On average down 9 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….22-27 percent. 7000 feet…….38-43 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….58-63. 7000 feet…….48-53. 24 hr trend…..On average down 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-10 percent. 7000 feet…….10-16 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 7 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….North winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….West 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon.
Max Temperature…..66-71. 24 HR Trend……Down 10-20 degrees.
Min Humidity……..14-24 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….West 12 mph in the early morning increasing to northeast 4-16 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Excellent.
Mixing height…….6500 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 10 mph in the morning increasing to northeast around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust in the evening. Widespread frost after midnight.
Min Temperature…..36-41. 24 HR Trend……Down 8-18 degrees.
Max Humidity……..25-35 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 8-18 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 4-16 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Widespread frost in the morning.
Max Temperature…..58-63. 24 HR Trend……Down 5-11 degrees.
Min Humidity……..8-18 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-8 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 9 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 8 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good.
Mixing height…….3800 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 10 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..68 to 76. 24 HR TREND……Down 18 degrees.
Min humidity……..20 to 30 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 20 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Partly cloudy. Areas of blowing dust.
Min temperature…..44 to 53. 24 HR TREND……Down 7 degrees.
Max humidity……..50 to 60 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 12 to 22 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……7 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..68 to 77. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 25 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 13 to 23 mph. Gusts to 45 mph…becoming 35 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Areas of blowing dust after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Areas of blowing dust. Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 69. Windy, with a north wind 30 to 35 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 49. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

*CHINO HILLS:
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east 20 to 25 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.

*COLTON:
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 75. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 75. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY…

…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..54 to 64 above 6000 feet to 58 to 68 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 15 degrees.
Min humidity…..10 to 15 percent on desert slopes to 15 to 25 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds west 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds west 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 55 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..21 to 31 above 6000 feet to 28 to 38 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 11 degrees.
Max humidity…20 to 30 percent on desert slopes to 45 to 55 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds northeast 15 to 25 mph. Gusts to 40 mph…becoming 50 mph after midnight.
RIDGETOP………Winds north 14 to 24 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……5 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..49 to 58 above 6000 feet to 66 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds north 13 to 23 mph. Gusts to 45 mph…becoming 30 mph in the afternoon.
RIDGETOP………Winds north 13 to 23 mph with gusts to 45 mph becoming west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY…

…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 58. South wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Windy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 54. Breezy, with a northeast wind 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SAN BERNARDINO RIVERSIDE AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS, SAN GORGONIO PASS AREA, INLAND EMPIRE AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY…
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 23. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 30. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY…
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..75 to 84. 24 HR TREND……Down 7 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 14 to 20 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT…
Sky/weather………Mostly clear. Areas of blowing sand and blowing dust.
Min temperature…..45 to 54. 24 HR TREND……Down 12 degrees.
Max humidity……..20 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 16 to 26 mph with gusts to 50 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……3 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..69 to 77. 24 HR TREND……Down 10 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 16 to 26 mph. Gusts to 50 mph…becoming 35 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather…………………Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..66-80. 24 hr trend………………7 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity………………..13-22 pct. 24 hr trend………………6 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..38-48. 24 hr trend………………10 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity………………..17-27 pct. 24 hr trend………………7 pct drier.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Northwest 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..55-67. 24 hr trend………………12 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity………………..6-11 pct. 24 hr trend………………10 pct drier.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
…LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM PDT /8 PM MST/ SUNDAY TO 8 AM PDT /8 AM MST/ MONDAY…
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….81-86. 24 hr trend…..On average down 6 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-17 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 30 to 40 mph decreasing to 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….5000 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation………Very good.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….38-43. 24 hr trend…..On average down 15 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….18-23 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 4 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 20 to 30 mph increasing to north 35 to 45 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….67-72. 24 hr trend…..On average down 14 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….2-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 6 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North 25 to 35 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….3400 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation………Good.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….67-72. 24 hr trend…..On average down 14 degrees.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….12-17 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 5 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 15 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….7600 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation………Very good.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Partly cloudy.
* Min temperature: 4000 feet…….29-34. 24 hr trend…..On average down 14 degrees.
* Max humidity: 4000 feet…….18-23 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 6 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North 25 to 35 mph increasing to 30 to 40 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….57-62. 24 hr trend…..On average down 10 degrees.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….5-8 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 8 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph decreasing to around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….North 20 to 30 mph becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….3600 ft agl. Transport winds…..North around 10 knots in the morning becoming light.
* Ventilation………Marginal to fair.

*La Jolla CA
Sunday
Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 68. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

*Poway CA
…FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN VALLEY AREAS…
Sunday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 74. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 52. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Sunday through Friday

Red Flag conditions are expected across outlying Dixie Sunday due to the combination of strong northerly winds and low humidity.

Light snow is possible across much of Utah through Sunday night.

A second surge of very cold air out of the Arctic region will reach Wyoming Monday, then spread back into Utah Tuesday. Record cold temperatures are expected midweek, with many readings typical of mid-winter temperatures. Temperatures will remain at below normal levels through the end of the week. Strong winds will return with the next surge of cold air.

A Hard Freeze is likely for Dixie by Tuesday night.

Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. North wind 10 to 16 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 13. Northeast wind 7 to 17 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 43. North northeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. South wind around 9 mph.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR LA/VENTURA COUNTY COAST, SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS, AND SAN GABRIEL VALLEY DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES…
…ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE MUCH OF THIS WEEK…
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny except areas of morning low clouds and fog.
Max temperature…..71-75. 24 hr trend……Down 14.
Min humidity……..40-50 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 30.
20-foot winds…….Southeast 6-12 mph becoming southwest 8-15 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..1500 ft asl. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..46-52.
Max humidity……..50-65 percent. Lowering overnight.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph becoming northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph by late evening, except 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the hills.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..75-79.
Min humidity……..5-10 percent.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the morning except 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the hills. Winds becoming southwest 6-12 mph in the aftenroon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM PDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..66-72 low elevations to 58-64 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Down 14.
Min humidity……..25-45 percent except 15-25 percent higher peaks and warmer valleys. 24 hr trend……Up 5-15.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…West 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….West 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..42-51 low elevations to 32-40 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..20-40 percent. Lowering overnight.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph in the evening becoming 25-35 mph with gusts to 55 mph after midnight.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph in the evening becoming 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph afer midnight.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..63-70 low elevations to 54-61 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..5-10 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 25-35 mph with gusts to 55 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 25-35 mph with gusts to 55 mph becoming 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
…FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..64-71. 24 hr trend……Down 16.
Min humidity……..10-20 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 8-15 mph with local gusts to 25 mph becoming northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear. Areas of frost after midnight.
Min temperature…..28-36.
Max humidity……..25-35 percent.
20-foot winds…….East 8-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. Areas of frost in the morning.
Max temperature…..61-65.
Min humidity……..5-10 percent.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph by late morning.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

============================================================
THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2004: Monthly record rainfall was received in only one day across the region. The same happened just a week previous on 10/20. Totals for last two weeks of October were four to eight inches in lower elevations, and up to 14 inches at Lake Arrowhead. Local flooding resulted. 2.70 inches fell at San Diego, the fourth most on any calendar day and the second wettest October day on record. 1.93 inches of rain fell at Oceanside Harbor and 1.65 inches fell in Victorville, each the greatest daily amount on record for October. Seven were rescued from vehicles in a flooded intersection in Sun City. 12 vehicles were trapped in mud at Scissors Crossing (east of Julian). A homeless man was rescued in the San Diego River. Several vehicles were stuck in San Jacinto River floodwaters near Perris. Two feet of snow fell at Big Bear Lake, most of which fell in a 12 hour period. A few local ski resorts opened on the earliest date in their history. Officially, 22 inches fell in town near lake level, the greatest daily snowfall amount on record for October, beating the previous October daily record by 18 inches!

2003: Santa Ana winds started on 10/25 and ended on this day. Gusts of 56 mph were measured at Descanso, 46 mph in Anza, 45 mph in Ontario, 43 mph at Fremont Canyon, 41 mph in Beaumont and 40 mph in Campo. Unprecedented wildfires, including the Cedar, Paradise and Otay Fires consumed hundreds of thousands of acres, killed over 20 people and caused over one billion dollars in damage.

2000: Heavy rain and very high tides combined to inundate coastal areas at Sunset Beach (Seal Beach).

1993: Santa Ana winds started on 10/26 and ended on this day. A gust of 62 mph was measured at Ontario. Twenty fires ravaged Southern California including in Laguna Hills. Four were killed and 162 injured. $1 billion incurred in economic losses in property alone and 194,000 acres were destroyed. The Laguna Fire roared to life in Laguna Canyon and rapidly spread toward the coast, with flames up to 200 feet high. In total the fire consumed 366 structures and 16,682 acres, as it burned through subdivisions in Laguna Beach.

==================================================================
TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

======================================================================
CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0820 Hrs. TEMP: 630 RH: 22% WIND: NE 10 G 19
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
=================================================================
FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

Initial attack activity: Light (41 new fires)
New large incidents: 1
Large fires contained: 0
Uncontained large fires:*** 6
Area Command teams committed: 0
NIMOs committed: 0
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1
Type 2 IMTs committed: 0

Active Incident Resource Summary
GACC Incidents Cumulative Acres Crews Engines Helicopters Total Personnel
AICC 0 0 0 0 0 0
NWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
ONCC 3 30,320 66 270 19 2,995
OSCC 4 19,397 21 107 6 948
NRCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
GBCC 2 1,591.5 0 11 1 53
SWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
RMCC 3 11,053 2 9 5 243
EACC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACC 5 1,806 2 4 1 85
Total 17 64,167.5 91 401 32 4,324

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)
Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through October 13, 2019 4,878 46,996
January 1, 2018 through October 13, 2018 5,155 631,916
5-Year Average (same interval) 5,109 372,344
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 5,980 170,857

Southern California Area (PL 3 )
New fires: 20 20
New large incidents: 0 0
Uncontained large fires: 2 2

Contract County
Tick, Vegetation Fire, Los Angeles County, Update
Tick Canyon Rd x Summit Knoll Rd, Canyon Country
Local DPA, SRA/FRA/LRA, Contract County/Angeles National Forest/Los Angeles County
• 4,615 acres (+610 acres), grass, 25% contained (+15% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with smoldering
• Evacuation orders remain in place for communities Baker Canyon and Tick Canyon
• Road closures in the area
• Weather watch in effect in the area
• Federal air and ground resources assigned
Saddle Ridge, Vegetation Fire, Los Angeles County, Update
Saddle Ridge Rd, Sylmar
Local DPA, SRA/LRA/FRA, Los Angeles City Fire/ Los Angeles County Fire/ Angeles National Forest, Contract County
• 8,799 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 97% contained (+0% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with smoldering
• Continued suppression repair
• Crews continue to improve, reinforce, and strengthen control line
• Federal ground resources assigned
• Incident submitting 1 ICS-209 daily at 1800
Federal
Oak, Vegetation Fire, San Diego County, Update
Case Springs x Roblar Rd, Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base
Federal DPA, FRA, DOD/Camp Pendleton
• 140 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 48% contained (+0% containment)
Northern California Area (PL 3 )
New fires: 17
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 2
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1

The National Weather Service: Eureka, Sacramento and San Francisco have issued a Red Flag Warning for strong and potentially damaging North to East winds with low relative humidity over much of interior California. The general timeframe for this event starts on Saturday morning and ends Monday. Numerous Fire Weather Zones in the North Ops Region are predicted to be affected.

CA-LNU Kincade Fire: 25,455 acres grass and brush, 10% contained. The fire is burning in a remote location with steep terrain that is hampering control efforts. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for extreme off shore winds and low humidity this evening. Evacuations orders and warnings in place, with additional evacuations in progress for areas SW of the fire. There is a threat to power-lines, geothermal power generation units,communication infrastructure,critical watershed and local community water delivery systems. Hwy. 128 remains closed with additional road closures anticipated. Damage inspections are approximately 25% complete.

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