FIRE WEATHER 10/6/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:
EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
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Date: 10/6/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:138

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 2 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Higher temperatures and low relative humidity will create elevated fire weather conditions inland through the weekend. Onshore flow will bring gusty westerly winds to the mountains and adjacent desert areas late Tuesday into Wednesday. Along with low relative humidity, this could bring elevated fire weather
conditions to those areas. Weak offshore flow with low relative humidity could create elevated fire weather conditions Thursday and Friday for the mountains, valleys and inland Orange County. Overnight relative humidity recovery will be poor to moderate for most inland areas through the period.

Temperatures will remain around 5 degrees above normal through Monday, with mid 60s to mid 70s across the mountains and 80s to low 90s in the valleys.

· Winds will be light through Monday.
· Temperatures will cool to near normal Tuesday and then drop to 5 to 10 degrees below normal Wednesday and Thursday.

· Southwest to west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph will surface across the desert passes late Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.

· Gusty northeast winds will surface across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California Thursday.

· Winds will be light Friday through next weekend.

· Temperatures will warm to near normal Friday through next weekend.

· Minimum humidity will be mainly in the single digits and teens away from the coastal areas through next weekend, except minimum humidity will increase to between 15% and 30% Wednesday

Elevated Fire Weather – Deserts and Desert Mountain Slopes
High Confidence Low humidity values and gusty northwest winds

Details
– What: Breezy winds from the northwest with gusts to 30 mph and
relative humidity values of 5 to 10 percent in the afternoons. Humidity
values will slowly increase in the late afternoons as onshore flow spreads inland.

– Where: Deserts and desert mountain slopes

– When: Through this weekend

Elevated Fire Weather – Mountains, Valleys, Inland Orange County
Moderate
Confidence
Gusty east to northeast winds and low humidity values

Details
– What: East to northeast winds of 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph combined with low humidity values will create elevated fire weather conditions. Humidity values could drop into the single digits again in the
mountains and 15-20% in the valleys and inland Orange County.

– Where: Mountains, Valleys, and Inland Orange County

– When: Thursday through Friday

KEY POINTS
● Elevated fire weather conditions in the deserts and desert slopes of the mountains due
to low humidity values and breezy southwest winds through the weekend.

● Humidity values will increase slightly over the weekend.

● Elevated fire weather conditions will continue for much of the new week, especially by
Thursday and Friday, due to gusty east to northeast winds and low humidity values in
the mountains, valleys, and Inland Orange County

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
High pressure will be over the area into early next week with dry conditions along with temperatures a few degrees above normal. A weak weather system brushing the area to the northeast will help bring increasing north to northeast winds this morning through the afternoon. Strongest winds will be down the Colorado River Valley where winds will likely gust between 25-35 mph. Elsewhere across eastern Lincoln, northeast Clark, and
northern Mohave Counties winds are expected to be northeast 15-25 mph. Lighter winds on Monday before another system brings increasing winds late Tuesday into Thursday. Minimum afternoon humidity levels will range from the single digits in the lower elevations to around 15-20 percent along the higher terrain over
the next 7 days.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
The large fire threat will be elevated across Southern California Thursday due to gusty offshore winds and very low humidity. Rapid rates of spread and long range spotting will be likely on any new starts in windy areas Thursday. The dead fuel moisture will be very dry and susceptible to new ignitions by the time the wind event starts due to the long duration of very low humidity. Otherwise, the potential for large fire will be low through next weekend due to light winds away from the desert passes. Expect light initial attack activity across the region through next weekend, except possibly moderate IA activity across Southern California Thursday.

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING
NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to
significant fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Oct. 6 Oct. 7 Oct. 8 Oct. 9 Oct. 10 Oct. 11
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 89. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 8 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..47 to 57. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity……..20 to 30 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east around 6 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 4 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 1 to 3 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 71. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. East wind around 5 mph becoming west in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. West wind around 5 mph.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 69. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Calm wind.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Calm wind

*PHELAN:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind around 5 mph.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..82-87. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..7-12 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 4-8 mph in the morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good. Mixing height…….6300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds…..North around 10 mph in the morning shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..55-60. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..16-26 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-7 mph in the evening shifting to the northwest overnight.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..84-89. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 degrees.
Min Humidity……..7-10 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-6 mph in the morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Good. Mixing height…….7500 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the south in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
SUNDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….90-95. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….6-9 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….53-58. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….19-24 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph increasing to southeast around 10 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

.MONDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….89-94. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….7-9 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph. * 10000 ft msl….West up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.

*BAKER:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 92. North wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 58. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 93. North northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 59. Light northeast wind.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
.SUNDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….81-86. * 7000 feet…….67-72. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….9-11 percent. * 7000 feet…13-23 percent. * 24 hr trend…On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds around 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Southeast up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….47-52. * 7000 feet…….27-32. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….27-32 percent. * 7000 feet….33-38 percent. * 24 hr trend…Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Southeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.
* Upper slopes….South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
* 10000 ft msl….South around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.
MONDAY… * Sky/Weather………Mostly sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….83-88. * 7000 feet…….70-75. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….8-10 percent. * 7000 feet…….10-20 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph becoming southeast up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..6.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..82-87. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 degrees.
Min Humidity……..7-14 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 5-10 mph.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Very good. Mixing height…….7000 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 10 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..52-57. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..20-30 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..83-88. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..8-17 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1.
Ventilation………Fair. Mixing height…….9000 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..89 to 95. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming west 6 to 8 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..52 to 59. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..45 to 55 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north around 6 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 4 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..87 to 93. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 92. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 59. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

*CHINO HILLS:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

*COLTON:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 94. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 92. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..Around 66 above 6000 feet to 76 to 86 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..35 to 45 above 6000 feet to 44 to 54 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity……..15 to 20 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east around 6 mph in the evening becoming downslope 2 to 5 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..Around 66 above 6000 feet to 75 to 85 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..
SLOPES………..Winds east around 6 mph becoming west 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
RIDGETOP………Variable 3 to 6 mph becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 75. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 75. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..94 to 99. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest around 6 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..62 to 70. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Max humidity……..15 to 20 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west around 6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..94 to 99. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west around 6 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
SUNDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..78-91. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………West 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip……0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)……0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..52-61. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..18-23 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.MONDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..79-91. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
SUNDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….92-97. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….3-11 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North around 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….4800 ft agl. * Transport winds…..North 10 to 15 knots. * Ventilation………Good.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * Valley floor….57-62. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: * Valley floor….19-24 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East up to 10 mph increasing to south around 10 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.

.MONDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * Valley floor….93-98. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * Valley floor….4-10 percent. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….South up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….5800 ft agl. * Transport winds…..North around 10 knots in the morning becoming light. * Ventilation………Fair.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
SUNDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * 4000 feet…….83-88. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * 4000 feet…….8-11 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North to northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….6100 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Light winds. * Ventilation………Fair.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… * Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: * 4000 feet…….49-54. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: * 4000 feet…….20-25 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable becoming south around 10 mph after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..3.

.MONDAY… * Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: * 4000 feet…….84-89. * 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: * 4000 feet…….6-9 percent. * 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg):
* Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. * LAL……………..1. * Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….3600 ft agl. * Transport winds…..Light winds. * Ventilation………Poor.

*La Jolla CA
Sunday
Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 72. Light north wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

*Poway CA
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Calm wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Calm wind.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind becoming north 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming southeast after midnight.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AND CENTRAL COAST THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS OF WEAK OFFSHORE WINDS…

…MODERATE SANTA ANA WIND EVENT NEXT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY…

LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
.SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..86-92. 24 hr trend……Up 3.
Min humidity……..15-25 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..56-60.
Max humidity……..65-90 percent except 40-55 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..88-94.
Min humidity……..18-25 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..80-90 low elevations to 69-76 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 15-25 mph with local gusts 30 mph then becoming southeast 6-12 mph in the
afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 6-12 mph until late afternoon becoming variable 3-6 mph.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..56-62 low elevations to 48-54 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..20-40 percent.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 6-12 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….East 6-12 mph in the evening becoming downslope 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..82-92 low elevations to 68-75 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..10-20 percent.
20-foot winds…….
Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 6-12 mph becoming variable 3-6 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..78-88. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….East 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..44-53 except 56-61 in the hills.
Max humidity……..20-40 percent.
20-foot winds…….East 6-12 mph in the evening becoming variable 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

.MONDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..79-89. Min humidity……..8-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

============================================================
THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
1977: Hurricane Heather recurved with the remnants tracking across northern Baja California into Arizona. There was rainfall up to two inches in the southern mountains and deserts on this day and on 10/7. This occurred during the El Niño of 1977-78.

1972: Hurricane Joanne made landfall in northern Baja California, maintaining tropical storm strength into Arizona and generating rainfall up to two inches in the southeast California deserts. This occurred during the strong El Niño of 1972-73.

1971: Santa Ana conditions produced a high of 101° at San Diego. It was 103° in La Mesa, 101° in National City, but only 84° at Imperial Beach! A fire of 1,000 acres burned southeast of Poway. Oceanside topped out a 98°, the highest temperature on record for the month of October.

1959: An early season storm brought wind driven waves to coastal areas. At Capistrano Beach coastal flooding during high tide caused damage to multiple homes and a trailer park.
==================================================================
TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
. For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located about 1350 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. However, satellite data suggests that the circulation of the disturbance is becoming less defined. This system is expected to move
northwestward at about 10 mph and merge with another disturbance to its southwest within the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just southwest of the disturbance mentioned above, about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely before it merges with the disturbance located to its northeast late this weekend or early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

======================================================================
CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0819 Hrs. TEMP: 620 RH: 59% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
=================================================================
FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 1)

Initial attack activity: Light (76 new fires)
New large incidents: 1
Large fires contained: 1
Uncontained large fires:*** 5
Area Command teams committed: 0
NIMOs committed: 0
Type 1 IMTs committed: 1
Type 2 IMTs committed: 0

Active Incident Resource Summary
GACC Incidents Cumulative Acres Crews Engines Helicopters Total Personnel
AICC 1 167,164 0 1 0 8
NWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
ONCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
OSCC 3 10,641 3 11 0 173
NRCC 3 3,470 0 1 0 16
GBCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SWCC 2 2,466 1 5 1 57
RMCC 3 6,974 32 31 8 1,043
EACC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACC 15 2,739 6 20 1 191
Total 27 193,454 42 69 10 1,488

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)
Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through September 29, 2019 4,467 40,483
January 1, 2018 through September 29, 2018 4,806 627,623
5-Year Average (same interval) 4,743 324,606
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 5,487 157,923

Southern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 25
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 1

Federal
Cattle, Vegetation Fire, Kern County, Update
Hwy 178 Kern Canyon Rd
Federal DPA, FRA, Sequoia National Forest
• 90 acres (+15 acres) grass and brush, 50% contained (+50% containment)
• Slow rate of spread
• Burning in steep terrain
• Federal air and ground resources assigned
Schaeffer, Vegetation Fire, Tulare County, Update
20 miles north of Kernville
Federal DPA, FRA Sequoia National Forest
• 295 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 100% contained (+0% containment)
• Incident submitting 1 ICS -209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800
Taboose, Vegetation Fire, Inyo County, Update
9 miles south of Big Pine
Federal/State DPA, FRA/SRA, Inyo National Forest
• 10,296 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 75% contained (+0% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with backing and creeping
• Area closures remain in effect
• Incident submitting 1 ICS -209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800

Northern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 9
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 0

CA-SHF South Fire: 5,332 acres, 62% contained. Fire behavior remains minimal primarily burning in the area of Syd Cabin Ridge. The South Fire has transitioned to a Type 5 Incident. This will be the final report unless a significant change occurs

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