FIRE WEATHER 11/3/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:

EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org

Ph: OFFICE:(760) 559-3032
AFTER 2200 HRS CALL (760)-244-9790
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COUNTY F.D RADIO: #733784 CALL SIGN: COM-330

Date: 11/3/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:165

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 3 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Weak offshore flow will continue this morning along the coastal foothills and through and below passes and canyons. Relative humidity will remain very low inland, with minimum afternoon values in the single digits. Weak onshore flow will push marine air inland today, with better overnight humidity recovery
tonight. Overall, elevated fire weather conditions will continue inland this week due to low relative humidity and above average temperatures. No wetting rains are in sight.

Maximum temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal through next weekend, with 60s to low 70s across the mountains and upper 70s and 80s in the valleys.

· Minimum humidity will be mainly in the single digits and teens and nighttime humidity recovery will be poor away from the coastal areas through next weekend.

· Winds will be light through next weekend.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
A ridge of high pressure will keep fair weather and
above normal temperatures over our region through the coming week
and next weekend

SPECIAL NOTES:
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CA
MONTHLY/SEASONAL OUTLOOK – OSCC, RIVERSIDE

ISSUED: NOVEMBER 1, 2019 VALID FOR: NOV. 2019 – FEBRUARY 2020
Summary:
• Temperatures Above Normal through early 2020.

• Good Chance of a delayed start to the “rainy season” with a high likelihood of below normal rainfall this winter.

• Near normal to slightly above number of offshore wind events expected through December.

WEATHER DISCUSSION:
After an 11-month hiatus, seasonal offshore winds made a dramatic return in October. Approximately 6 days of moderate to strong events occurred last month an additional 3-4 days of weaker winds. The offshore winds of Oct. 10-11th as well as the strong event of October 30th stand out as they resulted large fires which raced through tinder-dry vegetation.

The higher than normal frequency of offshore winds days was the end result of a strong buckling of the long wave pattern across the CONUS. A highly amplified, stationary ridge formed in the Eastern Pacific which allowed deep troughing to form over the Rockies and Midwest. Periodic intrusions of cold air produced strong offshore pressure gradients during the event of October 30th in particular. Temperatures over the intermountain west were some 30-40 degrees below normal during that period which led to some of the strongest offshore pressure gradients seen over Southern California in years.

Seemingly, the atmosphere flipped a switch at the end of September from one which produced progressive, jet driven storms system to one of light winds aloft and a persistently dry airmass. Some of the reasons for this wholesale change in atmospheric circulation may be that the atmosphere finally synched with current sea surface temperatures (SST) across the Pacific.

SST’s over the Eastern Pacific have remained well above average from the Gulf of Alaska southward to the equator the past few months. Despite this, an active jet had been bringing storms into the Pacific Northwest on a 3-4 day cycle, resulting in wetting rains over Northern CA and cool, onshore flow over the southern part of the state. But now that the ridge has been parked over the Eastern Pacific in close alignment with the area of greatest positively anomalous SST’s, it may some time before this pattern breaks down. There has been a tendency the past few years for these Eastern Pacific ridges to “lock in” with warm SST’s in a pattern which favors prolonged periods of warmer and drier than normal weather.

Warmer than normal SST have also migrated westward along the equator while cooler SST blossomed of the west coast of South America. This may be the beginnings of a Modoki ENSO pattern, which often brings drier than normal weather to the West Coast during the winter months.

Long term models may have picked up on these trends as most members of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble are predicting below normal precipitation for much of the state through early next year. Other long-range models such as the JAMSTEC offer similarly dry predictions the rest of the fall and into the winter.

Local forecast guidance continues to project an average to
slightly above number of offshore wind days for the next 30 days. The presence of a possible emerging Modoki ENSO pattern may acerbate this forecast and a slightly higher than average forecast may begin to skew toward a significantly higher than average forecast if current long wave patterns continue into December.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
The potential for large fire will be low through next weekend due to a lack of wind. Warm and very dry conditions will keep fuel moisture critically low through next weekend. Light initial attack activity will continue through next weekend

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING

NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to significant
fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Nov. 3 Nov. 4 Nov. 5 Nov. 6 Nov. 7 Nov. 8
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..73 to 80. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 1 to 3 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..39 to 49. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..15 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southwest around 6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..74 to 80. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 1 to 3 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Calm wind.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 40. Calm wind becoming east northeast around 5 mph after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming southwest in the morning.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 41.

*PHELAN:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 50. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 degrees.
Min Humidity……..8 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 2-4 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Marginal.
Mixing height…….4600 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..40-45. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 degrees.
Max Humidity……..15-25 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-5 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..9 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 4 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Marginal.
Mixing height…….4800 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….78-83. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….6-8 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….42-47. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….18-23 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….79-84. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….6-9 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

*BAKER:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Light northwest wind.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 46. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 47. Light northeast wind.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….73-78. 7000 feet…….61-66. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….6-9 percent. 7000 feet…….9-19 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….37-42. 7000 feet…….24-29. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….27-32 percent. 7000 feet…….28-33 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….74-79. 7000 feet…….61-66. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-11 percent. 7000 feet…….10-20 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* Upper slopes….North winds around 10 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 degrees.
Min Humidity……..6-12 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 5 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….5800 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..40-45. 24 HR Trend……Up 2-4 degrees.
Max Humidity……..18-28 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-5 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..7-15 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 5 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….6700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..79 to 85. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east around 6 mph becoming west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..42 to 52. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Max humidity……..40 to 50 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 15 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 8 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 4 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..78 to 84. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 5 mph becoming west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

*CHINO HILLS:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 48. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

*COLTON:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 85. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Light southwest wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..58 to 68 above 6000 feet to 67 to 77 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds northeast 6 to 8 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east around 6 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 4 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..27 to 37 above 6000 feet to 39 to 49 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..15 to 20 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds north around 6 mph.
RIDGETOP………Variable 1 to 3 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..59 to 69 above 6000 feet to 67 to 77 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds northeast around 6 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
RIDGETOP………Variable 1 to 3 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 66. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 66. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 28. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Light east wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 29. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 88. 24 HR TREND……Up 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 6 to 8 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..48 to 58. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity……..15 to 20 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west around 6 mph becoming north after midnight.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 88. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds southeast around 6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
.TODAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..69-81. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..5-10 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..46-55. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..14-19 pct. * 24 hr trend………………3 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.MONDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..70-82. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….82-87. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….3-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Northwest wind up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.
* Mixing height…….4300 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation………Good.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….46-51. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….20-25 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….82-87. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….4-12 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….5600 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Fair.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….74-79. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 degrees.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….6-9 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.
* Mixing height…….2700 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Poor.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: 4000 feet…….39-44. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: 4000 feet…….22-27 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 4 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….West up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..6.

MONDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….75-80. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….7-10 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northwest up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….3300 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Poor.

*La Jolla CA
Sunday
Patchy fog. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

*Poway CA
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 50. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 28. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 33. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR PROLONGED DRY AIR CONDITIONS…
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..78-83. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Up 7.
20-foot winds…….Northeast 5-10 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..48-57.
Max humidity……..75-90 percent except 30-40 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph early becoming variable 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..76-82.
Min humidity……..15-25 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..72-79 low elevations to 63-70 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..4-8 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 6-12 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 8-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming 6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph late.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..49-56 low elevations to 40-47 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..10-20 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…West 6-12 mph in the evening becoming northeast.
Ridges/upr slopes….North to northeast 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..72-79 low elevations to 63-70 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..5-10 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 6-12 mph becoming upvalley 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..70-77. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..3-6 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..28-38 except 45-50 in the hills.
Max humidity……..25-40 percent except 10-20 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph in the evening becoming variable 3-6 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

MONDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..72-80.
Min humidity……..4-8 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

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THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2015: A wet winter storm brought locally heavy rain to Southern California on this day and on 11/4. San Diego recorded a one-day total of 1.09 inch on this day, setting a daily rainfall record. 0.10 to 1.5 inch fell elsewhere, heaviest in southern San Diego County. Hail of one quarter inch was reported in Dana Point and southern San Diego County. Urban flooding resulted in Spring Valley and Lemon Grove with water up to the doors of some vehicles and several roads closed.

2010: Strong high pressure and offshore flow led to all-time November record high temperatures on this day and 11/4. In Riverside, the temperature was 100° on this day setting a monthly record. On this day it was 101° in Santa Ana, equaling the highest November temperature on record.

2002: Dense fog developed in south LA. 194 vehicles were involved on two pileups on the 710 freeway. There were no deaths, but 41 injuries.

1993: Santa Ana winds gusted to over 60 mph from 11/2 through 11/4. The Old Topanga fire burned from Calabasas to the ocean consuming 359 homes and close to 18,000 acres.

1950: Laguna Beach recorded an afternoon high temperature of 100°. This is the only triple-digit November temperature on record for the city, and is four degrees higher than any other November high temperature. November records were also set at Oceanside Harbor with 97°, and at Newport Beach with 94°.

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TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

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CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0705 Hrs. TEMP: 490 RH: 18% WIND: W 5 G 11
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
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FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)

Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through October 27, 2019 5,061 74,385
January 1, 2018 through October 27, 2018 5,248 632,051
5-Year Average (same interval) 5,204 372,528
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 6,190 198,392

Southern California Area (PL 3 )
Contract County

Maria, Vegetation Fire, Ventura County, Update
Bradley Rd X Solano Verde Dr, Top of South Mt, Santa Paula
Local DPA, SRA/LRA, Contract County/Ventura County

• 9,412 (+0 acres), grass and brush, 30% contained (+10% containment)
• Minimal rate of spread
• Structures, powerlines and radio communications threatened
• Threat to Avocado and Citrus orchards
• Repopulation in progress
• CAL FIRE IMT 1 (Van Loben Sels) is in command
• Federal air and ground resources assigned

Local

Hillside, Vegetation Fire, San Bernardino County, Update
W 59th x Hill Dr, San Bernardino
Local/Federal DPA, LRA/FRA, San Bernardino County Fire/San Bernardino National Forest

• 200 acres (+0 acres) grass and brush, 95% contained (+5% containment)
• Incident has transferred command to the County of San Bernardino
• Federal ground resources assigned

State

Hill, Vegetation Fire, Riverside County, Final
Granite Hill Drive x Pyrite Street, Jurupa Valley (Cooperative Agreement)
Local DPA, LRA/SRA/FRA, Riverside County/California Desert District

• 494 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush, 100% contained (+5% containment)
• Final report unless significant changes occur

Northern California Area (PL 2 )

CA-LNU Kincade Fire: 77,758 acres grass and brush, 72% contained. Minimal fire activity was observed today. Road closures continue for the fire area including Highway 128. Evacuation orders remain in place. Demobilization of excess resources will continue. Threat remains to private residences, commercial properties, critical water and power infrastructure as well as communication infrastructure on Mount St. Helena. Unified Command in place with CAL FIRE, Sonoma County SO & FD, Santa Rosa FD, Healdsburg FD & PD and Forestville

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