FIRE WEATHER 11/8/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:

EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
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Date: 11/8/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:171

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 2 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
==============================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
High pressure will bring warming and drying through Saturday with the lowest inland humidity to around 10 percent today and Saturday. Weak onshore flow will spread cooling into the coast and valleys on Sunday and Monday with a small recovery in humidity for inland areas. Weak offshore flow on Tuesday with lowest inland humidity down to near 10 percent again. Weak onshore flow will return on Wednesday and may strengthen later in the week. This will spread slow cooling and higher coastal humidity inland on Wednesday. However, a dry pattern is anticipated over at least the next 7 days.

Maximum temperatures will remain 10 to 15 degrees above normal through the middle of next week, with mid 60s to mid 70s across the mountains and upper 70s and 80s in the valleys.

· Minimum humidity will remain in the single digits and teens and nighttime humidity recovery will remain poor away from the coastal areas through the middle of next week.

· There will be local northeast winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph across the mountains and below the canyons and passes of Southern California through Saturday morning and once again Monday morning through Tuesday morning.

· Temperatures will cool late next week, but still be a little above normal.

· Minimum humidity will increase to between 15% and 30% above and inland from the marine layer late next week.

· Winds will be light late next week.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
Dry weather and mild days continue through the weekend and into next week. Temperatures will continue to push several degrees above seasonal averages and winds will generally be light with the exception of the Colorado River Valley where periodic north breezes can be expected.

SPECIAL NOTES:
BI-MONTHLY FUELS DISCUSSION
For Southern and Central California
Updated: Thursday, Nov. 7th 2019

General Discussion:

The streak of exceptionally dry weather with very warm daytime temperatures continued into early November as a dominating ridge of high pressure remained near the coast. Frequent Canadian cold air blasts plunged into the Great Basin and Rockies which resulted moderate to strong offshore flow events. The strongest of these occurred at the end of October. Offshore gradients were some of the tightest seen in years, which produced wind gusts over 70 mph at Wiley Ridge and Fremont Canyon. During this event, over half of the stations recorded single digit RH with some dewpoints dropping to jaw-dropping numbers such as -20 and -30°f.

The dry winds pushed dead fuel moisture even further into record territory. Nearly every Predictive Service Area outside the desert is reporting at or below record low fuel moisture values. Live fuels continue to track at critically dry levels. This situation is unlikely to be rectified until wetting rains occur.

Unfortunately, prospects for meaningful precipitation continue to look dim the rest of the month and into early December. Long range models keep the strong ridge centered off the coast or in a position unfavorable for rainfall. Looking far out into the future, most members of the NMME point to below to far below normal precipitation this winter. Thus, extreme fuel receptivity to ignition will continue for several more weeks. Large fire potential will be elevated during daylight hours. Local guidance calls for a near average number of offshore wind events in Nov. – December.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
Warm and very dry conditions will continue to bring record low dead fuel moisture and record high ERCs to the region through the middle of next week. These warm and very dry conditions will also keep the live fuel moisture critically low. New ignitions are expected each day through the middle of next week due to the extremely dry fuels along with warm temperatures and low humidity. These ignitions will most likely remain small due to the absence of widespread winds. There will be a chance of a fire becoming large if an ignition occurs in steep terrain during the peak heating hours of the afternoon or in a local windy location. Dead fuel moisture will increase some, at least in the finer fuels, due to cooling and an increase in humidity late next week. This will cause the number of new ignitions and the chance for a large fire to decrease

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING

NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to significant
fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Nov. 8 Nov. 9 Nov. 10 Nov. 11 Nov. 12 Nov. 13
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..76 to 81. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northeast 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..40 to 50. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity……..20 to 30 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east around 6 mph becoming west around 6 mph after midnight.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..75 to 81. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Light northeast wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 66. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 49. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

*PHELAN:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. South wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..75-80. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-6 mph in the early morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good.
Mixing height…….6500 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..40-45. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..24-34 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-8 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-5 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..6-12 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-5 mph in the early morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….6400 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..East 0 to 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
FRIDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….81-86. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Northeast wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….44-49. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….20-25 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….80-85. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-10 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

*BAKER:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Light north northwest wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. North northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. Calm wind becoming east northeast around 5 mph after midnight.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
FRIDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….72-77. 7000 feet…….62-67. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-11 percent. 7000 feet…….10-17 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* Upper slopes….East winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable becoming northeast up to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….34-39. 7000 feet…….22-27. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….23-28 percent. 7000 feet…….24-29 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 5 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….72-77. 7000 feet…….62-67. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….8-10 percent. 7000 feet…….9-15 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast around 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..75-80. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..7-16 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Excellent.
Mixing height…….8200 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 10 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..39-44. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..33-43 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 2-4 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-7 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..7-17 percent. 24 HR Trend……Down 1-3 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….North 5 mph in the early morning shifting to the northeast 3-6 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good.
Mixing height…….7700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Up 3 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..49 to 59. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Max humidity……..25 to 35 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 20 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 6 to 9 mph becoming east 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 6 to 11 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 62. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

*CHINO HILLS:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 57. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 55. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

*COLTON:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..59 to 69 above 6000 feet to 69 to 79 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..30 to 40 above 6000 feet to 44 to 54 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..15 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds northeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..59 to 69 above 6000 feet to 69 to 79 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 4 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds east 6 to 11 mph becoming north 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 mph.
RIDGETOP………Winds east 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the morning.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 68. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 48. East wind around 10 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 33. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..86 to 91. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the morning becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..Around 66. 24 HR TREND……Up 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..15 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..86 to 91. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
TODAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..72-84. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..13-18 pct. * 24 hr trend………………4 pct wetter.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..48-58. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..19-25 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.SATURDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..71-83. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend………………4 pct drier.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
FRIDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….84-89. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….6-16 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Northwest wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….8800 ft agl. Transport winds…..North 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation………Excellent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….48-53. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….23-28 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 5 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….83-88. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….4-14 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….3200 ft agl. Transport winds…..North around 10 knots.
* Ventilation………Fair.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
FRIDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….76-81. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….8-12 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.
* Mixing height…….4100 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Marginal.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: 4000 feet…….40-45. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: 4000 feet…….23-28 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 3 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East 10 to 15 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….75-80. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….8-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….1800 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Poor.

*La Jolla CA
Friday
Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Patchy dense fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 60. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Saturday
Patchy dense fog before 10am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Patchy dense fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 59. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.

*Poway CA
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 60. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 66. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Clear, with a low around 30. Light and variable wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Light east wind.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY FOR VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS…
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..84-91. 24 hr trend……Up 10.
Min humidity……..9-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Down 25.
20-foot winds…….East 6-12 mph becoming variable 3-6 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..800 ft asl. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..55-63.
Max humidity……..30-45 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph early becoming east 8-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..84-91.
Min humidity……..15-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….East 8-15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..75-85 low elevations to 65-72 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…East 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 6-12 mph.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..55-63 low elevations to 46-53 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..15-25 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the evening becoming 15-25 mph with local gusts to 35 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..76-85 low elevations to 66-74 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..7-15 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
FRIDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny. g
Max temperature…..73-82. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-12 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming northeast 6-12 mph in the afternoon.
Marine layer……..None. LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..35-44 except 45-50 in the hills.
Max humidity……..20-40 percent.
20-foot winds…….East 6-12 mph becoming variable 3-6 mph late.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..73-81.
Min humidity……..5-11 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming northeast 6-12 mph by the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

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THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2002: The first significant cold front of the year swept through the region, bringing two days of heavy rain. Rainfall along the favored slopes of the San Bernardino Mountains reached ten inches, while totals in the mountains of San Diego County approached four inches. Only 0.20 inch fell at San Diego. Although the coast missed out on the intense rain, the beaches were still pounded by surf reaching 10 to 15 feet.

1952: Indio received 1.60 inches of rain on this day, the greatest one-day rainfall total on record for November. This is also one of only four times the city has received a daily rainfall of one inch or more in November since 1894. The city’s most recent one-inch daily rainfall in November occurred in 1985.

1914: In Bagdad, this was the final day of an incredible dry spell of 767 days that started on 10/3/1912 (Southern Pacific RR employees kept this debated record).

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TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

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CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0800 Hrs. TEMP: 560 RH: 27% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
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FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

National Fire Activity (November 5 – November 7, 2019)
Initial attack activity: Light (194 new fires)
New large incidents: 0
Large fires contained: 4
Uncontained large fires:*** 1
Area Command teams committed: 0
NIMOs committed: 0
Type 1 IMTs committed: 0
Type 2 IMTs committed: 0

Active Incident Resource Summary
GACC Incidents Cumulative Acres Crews Engines Helicopters Total Personnel
AICC 0 0 0 0 0 0
NWCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
ONCC 2 80,995 50 126 6 2,208
OSCC 5 13,506 4 22 0 181
NRCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
GBCC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SWCC 1 540 0 0 0 0
RMCC 2 350 0 23 0 58
EACC 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACC 1 430 0 9 0 31
Total 11 95,821 54 180 6 2,478

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)

Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through November 3, 2019 5,244 126,069
January 1, 2018 through November 3, 2018 5,355 632,701
5-Year Average (same interval) 5,282 373,576
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 6,402 250,349

198,392 Acres Estimated Acres Burned 6,190 Incidents Number of Incidents
3 Fatalities Confirmed Loss of Life 732 Structures Damaged or Destroyed

Southern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 56
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 0

Taboose, Vegetation Fire, Inyo County, Update
9 miles south of Big Pine
Federal/State DPA, FRA/SRA, Inyo National Forest

• 10,400 acres (+0 acres), grass and brush,85% contained (10+% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with creeping and smoldering
• Area closures remain in effect
• Incident submitting 1 ICS-209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800

Cow, Vegetation Fire, Tulare County, Update
13 miles west of Olancha, Golden Trout Wilderness,
Federal DPA, FRA, Inyo National Forest

• 2,025 acres (+0 acres), timber (litter and understory), 98% contained (+0% containment)
• Minimal fire behavior with creeping and smoldering
• Incident submitting 1 ICS-209 weekly on Thursdays at 1800

Northern California Area (PL 2 )
New fires: 31
New large incidents: 0
Uncontained large fires: 1

CA-TGU Ranch Fire: 3,768 acres of brush and timber, 32% contained. Road area and trail closures are in effect. Evacuation warnings have been issued for the fire area. Structures and ranches remain threatened.

CA-LNU Kincade Fire: 77,758 acres grass and brush, 100% contained. Unified Command in place with CAL FIRE, Sonoma County SO & FD, Santa Rosa FD, Healdsburg FD & PD and Forestville FD. This is the last report unless significant change occurs.

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