FIRE WEATHER 11/9/19

DAILY FIRE WEATHER & FIRE INFO
ALL UNITS From:

EMAIL: pdupree@bdcecs.org
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Date: 11/9/19

SKYWARN: NORMAL
NETS ON WED NIGHT @1900 HEAPS PK./WX
SKYWARN NET TUESDAY @ 1900 HRS TABLE Mt.
BRIEFS TABLE MT. ON SUN @ 1800 HRS

DAYS NO R.F. @ STA.:172

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )

Southern California Area Preparedness Level: (PL 2 )

Northern California Area Preparedness Level (PL 2 )

GREEN = PL: 1 BLUE – PL:2 YELLOW = PL:3 ORANGE = PL:4 RED = PL: 5
=======================================================================
SYNOP: (NWS SAN DIEGO)
Offshore breezes in the foothills gusting to 25 to 30 mph this morning will subside this afternoon. A sea breeze will develop and push inland this afternoon with gusts to about 20 mph. Low relative humidity as low as 10 percent will prevail from the Inland Empire and inland valleys of San Diego County and points east. Weak onshore flow will increase humidity in the valleys just a bit on Sunday and Monday. Weak offshore flow Tuesday will push lower humidity toward the coast again, but no strong winds are expected this coming week.

NWS LAS VEGAS SYNOP– (NORTH & EAST OF COUNTY)
Tranquil weather will continue across the region for the next 3 to 4 days before the increasing possibility of a pattern change brings a more active weather pattern to the west mid to late next week. Temperatures remain well above normal through the middle of next week before slowly decreasing late in the week.

SPECIAL NOTES:
BI-MONTHLY FUELS DISCUSSION
For Southern and Central California
Updated: Thursday, Nov. 7th 2019

General Discussion:

The streak of exceptionally dry weather with very warm daytime temperatures continued into early November as a dominating ridge of high pressure remained near the coast. Frequent Canadian cold air blasts plunged into the Great Basin and Rockies which resulted moderate to strong offshore flow events. The strongest of these occurred at the end of October. Offshore gradients were some of the tightest seen in years, which produced wind gusts over 70 mph at Wiley Ridge and Fremont Canyon. During this event, over half of the stations recorded single digit RH with some dewpoints dropping to jaw-dropping numbers such as -20 and -30°f.

The dry winds pushed dead fuel moisture even further into record territory. Nearly every Predictive Service Area outside the desert is reporting at or below record low fuel moisture values. Live fuels continue to track at critically dry levels. This situation is unlikely to be rectified until wetting rains occur.

Unfortunately, prospects for meaningful precipitation continue to look dim the rest of the month and into early December. Long range models keep the strong ridge centered off the coast or in a position unfavorable for rainfall. Looking far out into the future, most members of the NMME point to below to far below normal precipitation this winter. Thus, extreme fuel receptivity to ignition will continue for several more weeks. Large fire potential will be elevated during daylight hours. Local guidance calls for a near average number of offshore wind events in Nov. – December.

DAILY FUELS/FIRE POTENTIAL:
Warm and very dry conditions will continue to bring record low dead fuel moisture and record high ERCs to the region through the middle of next week. These warm and very dry conditions will also keep the live fuel moisture critically low. New ignitions are expected each day through the middle of next week due to the extremely dry fuels along with warm temperatures and low humidity. These ignitions will most likely remain small due to the absence of widespread winds. There will be a chance of a fire becoming large if an ignition occurs in steep terrain during the peak heating hours of the afternoon or in a local windy location. Dead fuel moisture will increase some, at least in the finer fuels, due to cooling and an increase in humidity late next week. This will cause the number of new ignitions and the chance for a large fire to decrease.

SANTA ANA WILDFIRE THREAT INDEX: TODAY: GREY-NO RATING

NO RATING: Sundowner winds are either not expected, or will not contribute to significant
fire activity.

MARGINAL: Upon ignition, fires may grow rapidly.

MODERATE: Upon ignition, fires will grow rapidly and will be difficult to control.

HIGH: Upon ignition, fires will grow very rapidly, will burn intensely, and will be very difficult to control

EXTREME: Upon ignition, fires will have extreme growth, will burn very intensely, and will be uncontrollable.

Zones Nov. 9 Nov. 10 Nov. 11 Nov. 12 Nov. 13 Nov. 14
Zone 1:
LA-Ventura NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 2:
Orange-Inland Empire NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 3:
San Diego NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE
Zone 4:
Santa Barbara NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE NO RATE

————————————————————————————–
APPLE VALLEY / HESPERIA-VICTOR VALLEY (CAZ260):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..75 to 81. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..39 to 49. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Max humidity……..20 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 8 mph. Gusts to 20 mph after midnight.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..75 to 80. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west around 6 mph becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*WRIGHTWOOD:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 46. West wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

*BIG PINES / WEST WRIGHTWOOD AREA
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 48. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. North wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 48. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

*PHELAN:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 5 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 52. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

TRONA (INDIAN WELLS) (CAZ298):
.SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..9 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-5 mph in the early morning shifting to the east by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….6700 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..40-45. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..16-26 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-5 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..9 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 3-5 mph in the early morning shifting to the southeast by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Marginal.
Mixing height…….5400 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..North around 5 mph in the morning shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

BARSTOW / DAGGETT / BAKER / FT. IRWIN (CAZ228):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….80-85. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….6-9 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….42-47. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….21-26 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 3 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Northwest wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….79-84. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-9 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

*BAKER:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming north northwest around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. Light and variable wind.

SOUTHERN OWENS VALLEY / EAST SIERRA FOOTHILLS (CAZ226):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….73-78. 7000 feet…….62-67. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-9 percent. 7000 feet…….9-14 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average down 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* Upper slopes….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….35-40. 7000 feet…….23-28. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 degrees.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….22-27 percent. 7000 feet…….23-28 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..4.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….72-77. 7000 feet…….61-66. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….7-10 percent. 7000 feet…….9-17 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
* Upper slopes….Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

KERN CO. DESERTS (CAZ299):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..74-79. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..6-16 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….Northeast 6 mph in the early morning increasing to 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Good.
Mixing height…….8000 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northeast around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min Temperature…..39-44. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Max Humidity……..26-36 percent. 24 HR Trend……Up 3-9 percent.
20-Foot Winds…….Northwest 3-7 mph in the early evening decreasing to 7 mph.
LAL……………..1. Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max Temperature…..73-78. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
Min Humidity……..9-19 percent. 24 HR Trend……Little change.
20-Foot Winds…….North 6 mph in the early morning shifting to the east 3-5 mph by afternoon.
LAL……………..1. Ventilation………Fair.
Mixing height…….6200 ft AGL. Transport Winds…..Northwest around 5 mph.
Chc Wetting Rain….0 percent.

INLAND EMPIRE (CAZ248):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..83 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east 6 to 11 mph becoming west 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..47 to 57. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Max humidity……..30 to 40 percent. 24 HR TREND……Up 10 percent.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds east around 6 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..79 to 85. 24 HR TREND……Down 6 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 10 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*DEVORE:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85. North wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 62. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 81. North wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Light northeast wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

*CHINO HILLS:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 53. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable.

*COLTON:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 84. West wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

SAN BERNARDINO N.F. (CAZ255):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..57 to 67 above 6000 feet to 68 to 78 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)…… SLOPES……Winds east 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming north 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
RIDGETOP………Winds northeast 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the morning.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Clear.
Min temperature…..29 to 39 above 6000 feet to 42 to 52 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Max humidity….15 to 20 percent on desert slopes to 20 to 30 percent on coastal slopes. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds north 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph after midnight.
RIDGETOP………Winds north around 6 mph in the evening becoming variable 2 to 5 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..57 to 67 above 6000 feet to 66 below 6000 feet. 24 HR TREND……Up 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 to 15 percent. 24 HR TREND……Down 5 percent.
WIND (20 FT)…….. SLOPES………..Winds north 6 to 9 mph. Gusts to 20 mph in the morning.
RIDGETOP………Variable 2 to 4 mph becoming north around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

*LAKE ARROWHEAD SCHOOL- AREA:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

*BIG BEAR SCHOOL AREA:
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 30. Calm wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Light northwest wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 30. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

BANNING PASS (CAZ265):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..86 to 91. 24 HR TREND……Down 1 degree.
Min humidity……..10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds northwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the morning becoming variable 3 to 6 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..52 to 62. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Max humidity……..15 to 25 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds west 6 to 8 mph becoming north 6 to 9 mph after midnight. Gusts to 20 mph.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Sunny.
Max temperature…..85 to 90. 24 HR TREND……Down 2 degrees.
Min humidity……..5 to 10 percent. 24 HR TREND……Little change.
WIND (20 FT)……..Winds north 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent. LAL……………..1.

JOSHUA TREE AREA (CAZ230):
TODAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..72-83. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT… * Sky/weather…………………Clear.
* Min Temperature……………..47-57. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Max Humidity………………..16-22 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.

.SUNDAY… * Sky/weather…………………Sunny.
* Max Temperature……………..71-83. * 24 hr trend………………Little change.
* Min Humidity………………..8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend………………Little RH change.
* Winds – 20 foot…Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds…10000 FT MSL…………Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip…………….0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)…………….0 percent. * LAL………………………..1.
* Haines High Level Index………5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth.

NEEDLES, RIVER BAT. (CAZ229):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….82-87. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….4-13 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….North wind up to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….6400 ft agl. Transport winds…..North around 10 knots.
* Ventilation………Good.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: Valley floor….46-51. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: Valley floor….23-28 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….East up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: Valley floor….81-86. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: Valley floor….4-14 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (Slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Valley floor….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Light and variable becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….6100 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Fair.

STATELINE – CLARK COUNTY BORDER (NVZ465):
SATURDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….76-81. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….7-10 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….2900 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Marginal.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/Weather………Mostly clear.
* Min temperature: 4000 feet…….39-44. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Max humidity: 4000 feet…….24-29 percent. 24 hr trend…..On average up 2 percent.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Downslope/downvalley 2 to 5 mph becoming northwest up to 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft msl….Northeast up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.

SUNDAY… Sky/Weather………Sunny.
* Max temperature: 4000 feet…….75-80. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Min humidity: 4000 feet…….8-11 percent. 24 hr trend…..Little change.
* Wind (slope/valley=20 ft, 10 min avg): Slope/valley….Upslope/upvalley 4 to 8 mph.
* 10000 ft msl….North up to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 in)….0 percent. LAL……………..1. Haines Index……..5.
* Mixing height…….3200 ft agl. Transport winds…..Light winds.
* Ventilation………Marginal.

*La Jolla CA
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 72. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Sunday
Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 56. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.

*Poway CA
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph.

*CEDAR CITY Ut.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 66. Light and variable wind.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 31. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming north northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

*************************** L.A COUNTY ********************************
…ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS…
LOS ANGELS CO. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY (CAZ548):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..85-92. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….East 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph becoming southwest 6-12 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..53-62.
Max humidity……..45-65 percent except 20-35 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph with local gusts to 20 mph early becoming southeast 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..79-86.
Min humidity……..15-25 percent.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-8 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST (CAZ254):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..75-85 low elevations to 65-72 higher elevations. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…Northeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph becoming 6-12 mph late in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northeast 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..55-62 low elevations to 46-53 colder valleys and peaks.
Max humidity……..15-25 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…North to northeast 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes….North 10-20 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..74-82 low elevations to 64-72 higher elevations.
Min humidity……..9-15 percent.
20-foot winds……. Valleys/lwr slopes…North 10-20 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes….Northwest 8-15 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

ANTELOPE VALLEY (CAZ259):
SATURDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..72-80. 24 hr trend……Little change.
Min humidity……..5-9 percent. 24 hr trend……Little change.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph becoming northeast 10-20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Sky/weather………Mostly clear.
Min temperature…..35-44 except 46-51 in the hills.
Max humidity……..30-45 percent except 20-30 percent in the hills.
20-foot winds…….Variable 3-6 mph in the evening becoming southwest 6-12 mph.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

SUNDAY… Sky/weather………Mostly sunny.
Max temperature…..72-80.
Min humidity……..8-15 percent.
20-foot winds…….Southwest 6-12 mph becoming variable 3-6 mph in the afternoon.
LAL……………..1. CWR (>0.10 IN)……0 percent.

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THIS DAY IN WEATHER HISTORY:
2002: 5.68 inches of precipitation fell in Idyllwild, the greatest daily amount on record for November. Incredibly, no rain at all fell just on the other side of the mountain in Palm Springs.

1982: Seven tornadoes touched down in the LA Basin (2 F0, 3 F1 and 2 F2) during a six-hour period. Three of the tornadoes began as waterspouts off Pt. Mugu, Malibu, and Long Beach. The Long Beach waterspout-turned-tornado moved ten miles inland. Two of the tornadoes were in Garden Grove and Mission Viejo. Property damage occurred, especially with the Long Beach waterspout/tornado.

1956: This day is the latest recorded date in the year to reach at least 100° in Santa Ana.

1937: 2.68 inches of rain fell in San Diego, the fifth wettest calendar day on record and the wettest November day on record.

1917: It was 88° in Victorville, the highest temperature on record for November. This also occurred on 11/6/1980.

1914: In Bagdad rain finally fell on this day ending an incredible dry spell at 767 days that started on 10/3/1912 (Southern Pacific RR employees kept this debated record).

1879: 2.75 inches of rain fell on this day and on 11/10 in San Diego, the wettest 24-hour amount on record for November.

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TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC REPORT:
For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

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CURRENT WEATHER @ HESP. @ 0630 Hrs. TEMP: 470 RH: 33% WIND: CALM
0.00” RF @ HESP. STA.SINCE OCT. 1st/20 Yr Avg: 7.12” : MONTH: 0.00” YTD S/F: 0.00” /
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FIRES: UPDATED

National Preparedness Level (PL 1 )
Seven large fires are burning in four western states. Firefighters contained the Kincade, Maria, Getty and Burris fires in California this week.

Daily statistics 11/8/19
Number of new large fires or emergency response 0 States currently reporting large fires:
Number of active large fires
Total does not include individual fires within complexes. 7 Arizona (1)
California (2)
Colorado (2)
Utah (2)
Acres from active fires 28,226
Fires contained 4
Year-to-date statistics
2019 (1/1/19 – 11/8/19) Fires: 45,420 Acres: 4,574,688
2018 (1/1/18 – 11/8/18) Fires: 51,206 Acres: 8,269,034
2017 (1/1/17 – 11/8/17) Fires: 53,670 Acres: 8,859,819
2016 (1/1/16 – 11/8/16) Fires: 56,294 Acres: 5,051,202
2015 (1/1/15 – 11/8/15) Fires: 54,611 Acres: 9,752,333
2014 (1/1/14 – 11/8/14) Fires: 46,200 Acres: 3,281,412
2013 (1/1/13 – 11/8/13) Fires: 42,538 Acres: 6,933,732
2012 (1/1/12 – 11/8/12) Fires: 53,233 Acres: 8,992,970
2011 (1/1/11 – 11/8/11) Fires: 64,492 Acres: 8,259,514
2010 (1/1/10 – 11/8/10) Fires: 62,518 Acres: 3,220,572
2009 (1/1/09 – 11/8/09) Fires: 75,203 Acres: 5,776,575
10-year average Year-to-Date
2009-2018 Fires: 55,877 Acres: 6,581,217

CDF FIRES TO DATE (STATE LANDS SRA)

Number of Fires and Acres:
Interval Fires Acres
January 1, 2019 through November 3, 2019 5,244 126,069
January 1, 2018 through November 3, 2018 5,355 632,701
5-Year Average (same interval) 5,282 373,576
2019 Combined YTD (CALFIRE & US Forest Service) 6,402 250,349

Southern California Area (PL 2 )
No Reportable Incidents

Northern California Area (PL 2 )

CA-TGU Ranch Fire: 2,534 acres of brush and timber, 45% contained. Road area and trail closures are in effect. Evacuation warnings remain issued for the fire area. Structures and ranches remain threatened. Minimal fire behavior was reported last night.

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